Lauren Murphy vs Eduarda Moura Pick, 07/12/2025 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

Lauren Murphy vs Eduarda Moura

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Lauren Murphy will face off with Eduarda Moura at UFC Nashville on Saturday, July 12, 2025. The opener has Murphy priced at +430 while Moura is at -600.

Lauren "Lucky" Murphy comes into this bout with a mark of 16-6-0. The 41-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Eduarda "Ronda" Moura stands in at 5'6" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 11-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 66". In terms of significant strikes, Lauren Murphy is landing 4.05 per min while Eduarda Moura is landing 2.60 significant strikes per minute. Murphy is landing 39% of the significant strikes she attempts while Moura is connecting on 49%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, "Lucky" allows 5.25 significant strikes per min and "Ronda" allows 2.45. Murphy also defends against 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Moura is able to curb 53% of the strikes thrown her way.

When it comes to wrestling, Lauren Murphy is not as efficient of a wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.03 times per 3 rds. Murphy is scoring a takedown on 25% of her tries and defending 69% of the takedowns her opponents try. Moura is scoring a takedown on 35% of the takedowns she tries and stuffing 90% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. When it comes to submission attempts, Murphy is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.1 submissions per 3 rds while Moura tries 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In her previous fight, Lauren Murphy went up against Jessica Andrade and ended up losing the fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Andrade ended up landing 237 of 375 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Murphy walked away from this fight having landed 103 of 296 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Andrade ended up landing 231 of 369 , which gave her a percentage of 62%. She landed 161 of 292 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Murphy landed 34% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 100 of 293 . Out of those significant strikes, she landed 81 of 268 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Andrade and 90% of them landed by Murphy were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Eduarda Moura, she battled Veronica Hardy and took home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Hardy ended up landing 84% of her significant strikes at distance while Moura connected on 73% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Moura connected on 34% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 26 of 76 . She ended up connecting on 22 of 71 significant strikes directed at the head. Hardy landed 46 of 103 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 16 of 61 directed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Hardy connected on 61 of 119 and Moura ended up landing 41 of 96 total strikes.

Other fights on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Fatima Kline squares up against Melissa Martinez. Kline has a record of 7-1-0. The 24-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Martinez stands in at 5'2" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding grappling, Fatima Kline takes her opponents to the mat 1.84 times per 3 rds and Melissa Martinez takes her opponents to the mat 0.50 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Kline connects on 2.21 strikes per min and is landing 47% out of all the strikes she attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Melissa Martinez, who connects on 52% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 3.90 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Tallison Teixeira is set to enter the Octagon against Derrick Lewis. Lewis holds a mark of 28-12-0 (1 NC). The 40-year-old is fighting at 260 lbs and measures in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 79". Teixeira stands 6'7" and is weighing in at 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 8-0-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 83". Concerning wrestling, Derrick Lewis prevents 52% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 26% of the times he tries. Teixeira is finishing his takedowns on 10% of the attempts he tries and curbs 10% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Lewis is taking 2.48 strikes/min while he is dealing 2.48 strikes per minute. Teixeira, at the same time, is taking 7.50 strikes per min and dishes out 14.61 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lauren Murphy (+430)

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