Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds

Marina Rodriguez vs Gillian Robertson

UFC Des Moines

Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Saturday, May 3, 2025

Marina Rodriguez will battle Gillian Robertson at UFC Des Moines on Saturday, May 3, 2025. The opening odds have Rodriguez coming in at +270 while Robertson is at -340.

Marina Rodriguez walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-5-2. The 37-year-old records a weight of 115 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 65". Gillian "The Savage" Robertson comes in at 5'5" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 15-8-0. The 29-year-old reaches 63". In the category of significant strikes, Marina Rodriguez connects on 4.64 per minute while Gillian Robertson lands 2.89 significant strikes per minute. Rodriguez connects on 46% of the significant strikes she attempts while Robertson lands 48%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Rodriguez allows 3.04 significant strikes per minute while "The Savage" absorbs 2.95. Rodriguez also stops 55% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Robertson is able to stop 56% of the strikes thrown her way.

When it comes to grappling, Marina Rodriguez is not as effective of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.28 times per 15 min. Rodriguez is getting her opponent to the mat on 50% of her tries and is stuffing 62% of all takedown attempts. Robertson is taking her opponents to the canvas on 39% of the takedowns she attempts and stopping 41% of all takedowns attempted on her. Regarding going for the sub, Rodriguez is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes while Robertson tries 1.0 finish per 15 min.

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The last time she stepped into the Octagon, Marina Rodriguez faced Iasmin Lucindo and ended up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Lucindo landed 55 of 104 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Rodriguez ended the night having landed 65 of 134 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Lucindo landed 30 of 73, which gave her a percentage of 41%. She landed 19 of 56 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Rodriguez landed 33% of her significant strikes by landing 33 of 99. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she connected on 28 of 89 aimed at the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Lucindo and 84% of them connected on by Rodriguez were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Gillian Robertson, she fought Luana Pinheiro and got a win for the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Pinheiro landed 97% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Robertson landed 53% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Robertson connected on 48% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 52 of 108. She ended up connecting on 33 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pinheiro ended up connecting on 42 of 105 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she landed 23 of 84 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes that she let go in that fight, Pinheiro ended up connecting on 63 of 128 and Robertson was 78 of 145 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Yana Santos battles Miesha Tate. Santos walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-8-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Tate stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 20-9-0. The 38-year-old stretches 65". In terms of takedowns, Yana Santos is able to score a takedown 0.97 times per 3 rds while Miesha Tate is able to score a takedown 2.02 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Santos lands 4.42 strikes per minute and connecting on 58% of the strikes that she throws. Joining her in the Octagon is Miesha Tate, who lands 45% of the strikes she has attempted and is landing 2.62 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Deiveson Figueiredo is set to battle Cory Sandhagen. Sandhagen will be looking to add a win to his career record of 17-5-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 70". Figueiredo comes in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 24-4-1. The 37-year-old stretches 68". In the category of takedowns, Cory Sandhagen stops 63% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 32% of the times he tries. Figueiredo is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 60% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Sandhagen takes 3.46 strikes per min and he connects on 5.02 strikes/minute. Figueiredo, in contrast, is taking 3.55 strikes/min and connects on 2.91 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Gillian Robertson (-340)

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