Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds

Marvin Vettori vs Brendan Allen

UFC 318

Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Saturday, July 19, 2025

Marvin Vettori will enter the Octagon against Brendan Allen at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The moneyline has Vettori priced at +157 while Allen is at -206.

Marvin "The Italian Dream" Vettori walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-8-1. The 31-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Brendan "All In" Allen stands in at 6'2" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 24-7-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Marvin Vettori is landing 4.54 per min while Brendan Allen is landing 3.55 significant strikes per minute. Vettori lands 46% of the significant strikes he throws and Allen connects on 53%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Italian Dream" absorbs 4.37 significant strikes per minute and "All In" takes 3.67. Vettori also defends against 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Allen thwarts 45% of the strikes thrown his way.

In the grappling category, Marvin Vettori is the lesser skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.51 times per 3 rounds. Vettori is taking his opponents to the canvas on 45% of his attempts and stuffing 69% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Allen is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of his takedown attempts and stopping 56% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submission attempts, Vettori is the lesser skilled fighter by going for 0.4 finishes per 3 rds while Allen tries 1.3 finishes per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Marvin Vettori fought Roman Dolidze and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 5. Dolidze ended up landing 141 of 340 total strikes attempted in that fight. Vettori walked away from this fight having landed 112 of 221 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Dolidze ended up landing 141 of 338, which gave him a rate of 41%. He landed 85 of 253 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Vettori landed 50% of his significant strikes by landing 111 of 220. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 72 of 173 aimed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes landed by Dolidze and 99% of them connected on by Vettori were tallied at a distance.

In the last fight for Brendan Allen, he faced off with Anthony Hernandez and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Hernandez ended up connecting on 40% of his significant strikes at distance while Allen connected on 71% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Allen ended up connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 14 of 26. He connected on 8 of 19 significant strikes aimed at the head. Hernandez landed 30 of 42 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 30 of 42 aimed at the head. In regard to total strikes attempted in that fight, Hernandez ended up landing 72 of 91 and Allen landed 53 of 71 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Francisco Prado encounters Nikolay Veretennikov. Prado comes into this bout with a mark of 12-3-0. The 23-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Veretennikov stands 6'1" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 12-6-0. The 35-year-old reaches 74". Regarding grappling, Francisco Prado is averaging a takedown 0.31 times per 3 rounds and Nikolay Veretennikov is averaging a takedown 0.50 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Prado lands 4.38 strikes/minute and is landing 41% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Nikolay Veretennikov, who is connecting on 56% of the strikes he has tried and lands 2.73 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Robert Valentin is set to enter the Octagon against Ateba Gautier. Gautier comes into this fight holding a mark of 7-1-0. The 23-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The switch fighter has an arm span of 81". Valentin comes in at 6'2" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 11-5-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old stretches 77". Regarding wrestling, Ateba Gautier is able to defend against 90% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 10% of his tries. Valentin is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 55% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Gautier is taking 2.23 strikes/minute while he connects on 6.06 strikes per min. Valentin, moreover, is absorbing 2.11 strikes per min and is connecting on 1.10 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Marvin Vettori (+157)

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