Michael Johnson vs Daniel Zellhuber Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds

Michael Johnson vs Daniel Zellhuber

UFC 318

Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Saturday, July 19, 2025

Michael Johnson will take on Daniel Zellhuber at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The opener has Johnson coming in at +406 while Zellhuber is at -541.

Michael "The Menace" Johnson steps into the Octagon holding a record of 24-19-0. The 39-year-old weighs 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Daniel "Golden Boy" Zellhuber stands in at 6'1" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the cage with a record of 15-2-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 77". In the category of significant strikes, Michael Johnson lands 4.23 per min while Daniel Zellhuber connects on 6.26 significant strikes per minute. Johnson is landing 39% of the significant strikes he tries and Zellhuber is connecting on 40%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Menace" takes 3.80 significant strikes per minute and "Golden Boy" takes 6.02. Johnson also prevents 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Zellhuber defends against 55% of the shots thrown.

Regarding takedowns, Michael Johnson is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents down 0.61 times per 3 rds. Johnson is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his tries and defending 81% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Zellhuber is taking his opponents down on 25% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 94% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Johnson is the more skilled fighter by going for 0.7 submissions per 15 min while Zellhuber looks to get 0.2 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Michael Johnson squared up with Ottman Azaitar and wound up taking home the victory via a punch to the head in round 2. Azaitar landed 20 of 61 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Johnson ended the night having landed 19 of 50 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Azaitar ended up landing 16 of 56, which gave him a rate of 28%. He landed 8 of 39 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Johnson landed 38% of his significant strikes by sticking 19 of 50. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 13 of 37 aimed at the head. 93% of the significant strikes landed by Azaitar and 84% of them landed by Johnson were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Daniel Zellhuber, he fought Esteban Ribovics and ended up taking the loss by split decision in round 3. Ribovics landed 98% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Zellhuber ended up landing 96% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Zellhuber landed 39% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 121 of 308. He ended up connecting on 83 of 255 significant strikes directed at the head. Ribovics ended up landing 156 of 345 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 103 of 276 to the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go in that fight, Ribovics connected on 156 of 345 while Zellhuber ended up landing 121 of 308 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Kyler Phillips enters the Octagon against Vinicius Oliveira. Phillips walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 12-3-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Oliveira measures in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 22-3-0. The 29-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In the grappling category, Kyler Phillips takes his opponents down 2.63 times per 3 rounds and Vinicius Oliveira takes his opponents to the canvas 1.89 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Phillips is connecting on 5.28 strikes/minute and connects on 44% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Vinicius Oliveira, who tags his opponent on 44% of his attempted strikes and lands 4.92 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Brendan Allen is set to square up against Marvin Vettori. Vettori walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-8-1. The 31-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands 6'0". The southpaw fighter stretches 74". Allen stands in at 6'2" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 24-7-0. The 29-year-old reaches 75". In terms of grappling, Marvin Vettori is able to deflect 69% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 45% of the times he tries. Allen is taking his opponents to the mat on 38% of his attempts and is able to curb 56% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Vettori absorbs 4.37 strikes per min while he lands 4.54 strikes per minute. Allen, on the other hand, takes 3.67 strikes per minute and lands 3.55 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Michael Johnson (+406)

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