Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho Pick, 09/06/2025 Predictions UFC Paris Odds
Nassourdine Imavov vs Caio Borralho
UFC Paris
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 6, 2025
Nassourdine Imavov will enter the Octagon against Caio Borralho at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 6, 2025. The opening line has Imavov coming in at +110 while Borralho is at -130.
Nassourdine "The Sniper" Imavov will be looking to add a win to his career total of 16-4-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and measures in at 6' 3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Caio "The Natural" Borralho stands in at 6' 1" and weighs in at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-1-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old stretches 75". Concerning significant strikes, Nassourdine Imavov is connecting on 4.45 per minute and Caio Borralho is landing 3.61 significant strikes per min. Imavov is landing 55% of the significant strikes he throws while Borralho is connecting on 60%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Sniper" allows 3.26 significant strikes per min while "The Natural" absorbs 2.34. Imavov also stops 58% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Borralho curbs 62% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC Paris | Nassourdine Imavov | Caio Borralho |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | +110 | -130 |
Record | 16-4-0 (1 NC) | 17-1-0 (1 NC) |
Average Fight Time | 14:23 | 12:51 |
Height | 6' 3" | 6' 1" |
Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
Reach | 75" | 75" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.45 | 3.61 |
Striking Accuracy | 55% | 60% |
In terms of wrestling, Nassourdine Imavov is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.85 times per 3 rounds. Imavov is getting his opponent to the mat on 32% of the times he tries and stopping 78% of all takedown tries against him. Borralho is taking his opponents down on 60% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 76% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Imavov is the more capable fighter by going for 1.1 subs per 15 minutes while Borralho tries 0.5 subs per 3 rounds.
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In his previous fight, Nassourdine Imavov faced Israel Adesanya and took home the victory via a punch to the head in round 2. Adesanya ended up landing 32 of 56 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Imavov finished this fight landing 18 of 34 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Adesanya ended up landing 26 of 50, which means his percentage was 52%. He landed 9 of 28 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Imavov landed 48% of his significant strikes by sticking 15 of 31. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 9 of 21 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Adesanya and 66% of them connected on by Imavov were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Caio Borralho, he faced off with Jared Cannonier and wound up taking home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Cannonier landed 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Borralho ended up landing 84% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Borralho landed 60% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 153 of 255. He ended up landing 106 of 197 significant strikes directed at the head. Cannonier connected on 83 of 254 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 57 of 206 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Cannonier ended up landing 83 of 254 and Borralho was 156 of 258 total strikes.
Other fights to watch out for
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Benoit Saint Denis fights Mauricio Ruffy. Saint Denis comes into this fight with a record of 14-3-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands in at 5' 11". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 73". Ruffy comes in at 5' 11" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 12-1-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 75". In the grappling category, Benoit Saint Denis takes his opponents to the canvas 4.19 times per 15 min while Mauricio Ruffy takes his opponents down 0.89 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Saint Denis lands an average of 5.39 strikes/min and is connecting on 55% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Mauricio Ruffy, who tags his opponent on 58% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 4.54 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Mason Jones is set to enter the Octagon against Bolaji Oki. Oki walks into the Octagon holding a record of 10-2-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 5' 10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 73". Jones measures in at 5' 10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 16-2-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding takedowns, Bolaji Oki is able to deflect 85% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 75% of his attempts. Jones is finishing his takedown tries on 52% of the attempts he tries and is able to thwart 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Oki is absorbing 4.76 strikes per min while he connects on 7.05 per minute. Jones, notwithstanding, is absorbing 4.46 strikes/min and deals 5.56 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Nassourdine Imavov (+110)
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