Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov Pick, 07/26/2025 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds
Nikita Krylov vs Bogdan Guskov
UFC Abu Dhabi
Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi
Saturday, July 26, 2025
Nikita Krylov will battle Bogdan Guskov at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 26, 2025. The opening odds have Krylov priced at -190 while Guskov is at +165.
Asu "Zulfikar" Almabayev steps into the cage holding a mark of 30-10-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Ramazan "Temurlan" Temirov stands in at 6'3" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 17-3-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Concerning significant strikes, Nikita Krylov is connecting on 4.33 per minute while Bogdan Guskov is landing 3.96 significant strikes per min. Krylov lands 54% of the significant strikes he tries and Guskov lands 55%. Regarding defense, "The Miner" allows 2.49 significant strikes per min and "Czarevitch" takes 3.22. Krylov also prevents 44% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Guskov stops 43% of the shots thrown in his direction.

UFC Abu Dhabi | Nikita Krylov | Bogdan Guskov |
---|---|---|
Opening Odds | -190 | +165 |
Record | 30-10-0 | 17-3-0 |
Average Fight Time | 6:41 | 6:03 |
Height | 6'3" | 6'3" |
Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
Reach | 77" | 76" |
Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.33 | 3.96 |
Striking Accuracy | 54% | 55% |
Regarding grappling, Nikita Krylov is the more skilled wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.24 times per 15 minutes. Krylov is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of his attempts and is defending 53% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Guskov is taking his opponents down on 15% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 57% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Krylov is the more apt fighter by attempting 1.4 submissions per 3 rounds while Guskov goes for 1.2 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In his previous bout, Nikita Krylov faced Dominick Reyes and ended up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 1. Reyes landed 8 of 17 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Krylov finished this fight landing 4 of 22 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Reyes ended up landing 8 of 17, which gave him a percentage of 47%. He landed 5 of 14 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Krylov ended up landing 18% of his significant strikes by landing 4 of 22. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 3 of 16 aimed at the head. 75% of the significant strikes connected on by Reyes and 100% of them connected on by Krylov were tallied at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Bogdan Guskov, he went up against Billy Elekana and took home the victory via guillotine choke in round 2. Elekana landed 65% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Guskov connected on 40% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Guskov ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 47 of 71. He connected on 39 of 63 significant strikes aimed at the head. Elekana landed 20 of 28 significant strikes in that battle. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 18 of 25 to the head. In terms of the total strikes thrown in this fight, Elekana ended up connecting on 28 of 37 and Guskov ended up connecting on 59 of 85 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Bryce Mitchell battles Said Nurmagomedov. Mitchell steps into the Octagon with a mark of 17-4-0. The 30-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a wingspan of 70". Nurmagomedov measures in at 5'8" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 18-4-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In the grappling category, Bryce Mitchell takes his opponents down 3.27 times per 15 min and Said Nurmagomedov is averaging a takedown 1.01 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Mitchell connects for an average of 2.44 strikes/minute and connecting on 59% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Said Nurmagomedov, who is landing 47% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 3.38 per min.
Another bout to watch is when Carlos Leal is set to clash with Muslim Salikhov. Salikhov has a career record of 21-5-0. The 41-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 70". Leal comes in at 5'11" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 22-6-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Regarding wrestling, Muslim Salikhov is preventing 72% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 32% of his tries. Leal is finishing his takedowns on 25% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 90% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Salikhov is absorbing 2.90 strikes per min and he is dealing 3.38 strikes/minute. Leal, moreover, takes 7.73 strikes/min and is dishing out 9.65 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Bogdan Guskov (+165)
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