Niko Price vs Jacobe Smith Pick, 06/28/2025 Predictions UFC 317 Odds

Niko Price vs Jacobe Smith

UFC 317

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 28, 2025

Niko Price will face off with Jacobe Smith at UFC 317 on Saturday, June 28, 2025. The opening line has Price at +1000 while Smith is at -2000.

Niko "The Hybrid" Price will be looking to add a win to his career record of 16-8-0 (2 NC). The 35-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Jacobe "Cobe" Smith stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 10-0-0. The 29-year-old stretches 72". Concerning significant strikes, Niko Price lands 5.21 per minute and Jacobe Smith lands 7.34 significant strikes per min. Price is connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he throws and Smith lands 70%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Hybrid" allows 5.58 significant strikes per minute while "Cobe" takes 1.97. Price also defends 48% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Smith stops 52% of the shots thrown.

Regarding grappling, Niko Price is not as effective of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.04 times per 3 rds. Price is getting his opponent to the mat on 29% of his attempts and is stuffing 52% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Smith is taking his opponents to the mat on 87% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 10% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Price is the more skilled technician by trying 0.7 subs per 15 minutes while Smith looks to get 0.3 subs per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Niko Price fought Themba Gorimbo and wound up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Gorimbo landed 141 of 223 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Price finished this fight landing 58 of 100 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Gorimbo landed 68 of 127, which means his percentage was 53%. He ended up landing 44 of 97 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Price ended up landing 30% of his significant strikes by sticking 16 of 53. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 13 of 43 to the head. 63% of the significant strikes connected on by Gorimbo and 68% of them connected on by Price were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Jacobe Smith, he battled Preston Parsons and ended up getting the win by a punch to the head in round 1. Parsons ended up connecting on 85% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Smith connected on 91% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Smith ended up connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 12 of 23. He ended up connecting on 8 of 17 significant strikes aimed at the head. Parsons ended up connecting on 7 of 14 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 6 of 12 to the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Parsons landed 8 of 15 and Smith connected on 12 of 23 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Viviane Araujo goes up against Tracy Cortez. Araujo walks into the cage with a record of 13-6-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Cortez measures in at 5'5" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 11-2-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 65". In terms of takedowns, Viviane Araujo is able to score a takedown 1.86 times per 15 minutes while Tracy Cortez takes her opponents to the canvas 2.09 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Araujo is connecting on 4.04 strikes per min and is connecting on 47% of her attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Tracy Cortez, who is landing 47% of the strikes she attempts and is landing 3.72 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Charles Oliveira is set to square up in the Octagon with Ilia Topuria. Topuria looks to add a victory to his career total of 16-0-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Oliveira measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 35-10-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 74". In the category of takedowns, Ilia Topuria is able to curb 92% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 61% of his attempts. Oliveira is taking his opponents down on 40% of his tries and is able to defend against 56% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Topuria takes 3.84 strikes/min and he lands 4.69 strikes per minute. Oliveira, in contrast, takes 3.21 strikes per min and deals 3.40 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Niko Price (+1000)

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