Paulo Costa vs Roman Kopylov Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds

Paulo Costa vs Roman Kopylov

UFC 318

Smoothie King Center in New Orleans

Saturday, July 19, 2025

Paulo Costa will battle Roman Kopylov at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The opening odds have Costa priced at +195 while Kopylov is priced at -241.

Paulo "The Eraser" Costa holds a career record of 14-4-0. The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Roman Kopylov stands 6'0" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-3-0. The 34-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Concerning significant strikes, Paulo Costa connects on 6.22 per min and Roman Kopylov is connecting on 4.96 significant strikes per min. Costa is landing 58% of the significant strikes he tries while Kopylov lands 50%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Eraser" allows 6.56 significant strikes per minute while Kopylov absorbs 4.86. Costa also thwarts 49% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Kopylov is able to stop 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

In terms of wrestling, Paulo Costa is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.36 times per 15 minutes. Costa is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of his attempts and is stopping 80% of all takedowns attempted on him. Kopylov is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 87% of the attempts against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Costa is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.7 subs per 3 rounds while Kopylov tries 0.9 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Paulo Costa squared up with Sean Strickland and walked away with a loss via split decision in round 5. Strickland landed 182 of 402 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Costa ended the night having landed 158 of 266 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Strickland landed 182 of 402, which gave him a rate of 45%. He landed 104 of 258 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Costa ended up landing 59% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 158 of 266. Of those significant strikes, he was 28 of 100 aimed at the head. 98% of the significant strikes connected on by Strickland and 99% of them landed by Costa were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Roman Kopylov, he went up against Chris Curtis and wound up getting the win via a kick to the head in round 3. Curtis ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Kopylov connected on 95% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Kopylov landed 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 130 of 307. He connected on 91 of 266 significant strikes to the head. Curtis ended up connecting on 142 of 261 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 107 of 204 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that fight, Curtis ended up connecting on 146 of 265 and Kopylov connected on 133 of 310 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Kevin Holland battles Daniel Rodriguez. Holland will be looking to add a win to his career record of 28-13-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 81". Rodriguez comes in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 19-5-0. The 38-year-old reaches 74". Regarding grappling, Kevin Holland scores a takedown 0.81 times per 15 min while Daniel Rodriguez is averaging a takedown 0.55 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Holland tags his opponents 4.24 strikes/min and is landing 50% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Daniel Rodriguez, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 7.39 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Patricio Freire is set to face off against Dan Ige. Ige will be looking to add a win to his record of 19-9-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 71". Freire stands in at 5'6" and steps on the scale at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 36-8-0. The 38-year-old extends his reach 67". Concerning grappling, Dan Ige is preventing 58% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of his tries. Freire is taking his opponents down on 20% of the attempts he tries and is able to defend against 88% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Ige is taking 3.55 strikes per minute and he lands 3.67 strikes per min. Freire, in contrast, takes 4.48 strikes per minute and is dealing 2.45 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Roman Kopylov (-241)

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