Ryan Spann vs Lukasz Brzeski Pick, 07/19/2025 Predictions UFC 318 Odds
Ryan Spann vs Lukasz Brzeski
UFC 318
Smoothie King Center in New Orleans
Saturday, July 19, 2025
Ryan Spann will enter the Octagon with Lukasz Brzeski at UFC 318 on Saturday, July 19, 2025. The line has Spann priced at -217 while Brzeski is priced at +176.
Ryan "Superman" Spann comes into this bout with a mark of 22-11-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 79". Lukasz "The Bull" Brzeski comes in at 6'4" and weighs 236 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 9-6-1 (1 NC). The 33-year-old stretches 78". Regarding significant strikes, Ryan Spann lands 3.20 per minute and Lukasz Brzeski lands 5.02 significant strikes per minute. Spann lands 39% of the significant strikes he attempts and Brzeski lands 50%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Superman" allows 4.21 significant strikes per minute and "The Bull" allows 3.68. Spann also deflects 43% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Brzeski deflects 54% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 318 | Ryan Spann | Lukasz Brzeski |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -217 | +176 |
| Record | 22-11-0 | 9-6-1 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 5:36 | 10:01 |
| Height | 6'5" | 6'4" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 236 lbs |
| Reach | 79" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.20 | 5.02 |
| Striking Accuracy | 39% | 50% |
When it comes to wrestling, Ryan Spann is the more skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.17 times per 15 minutes. Spann is taking his opponents to the canvas on 31% of his tries and stopping 52% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Brzeski is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his takedown attempts and defending 36% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Spann is the more able fighter by attempting 1.5 submissions per 15 min while Brzeski tries 0.4 submissions per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Ryan Spann squared up with Waldo Cortes-Acosta and ended up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Cortes-Acosta ended up landing 77 of 123 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Spann walked away from this fight having landed 24 of 87 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Cortes-Acosta ended up landing 66 of 111, which gave him a rate of 59%. He finished the fight landing 56 of 97 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Spann landed 26% of his significant strikes by landing 23 of 86. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 11 of 70 aimed at the head. 89% of the significant strikes connected on by Cortes-Acosta and 95% of them landed by Spann were thrown at a distance.
In the last fight for Lukasz Brzeski, he went up against Kennedy Nzechukwu and ended up taking the loss by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Nzechukwu ended up landing 89% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Brzeski ended up landing 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Brzeski connected on 46% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 32 of 69. He connected on 16 of 50 significant strikes aimed at the head. Nzechukwu landed 29 of 70 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 19 of 55 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Nzechukwu landed 29 of 70 and Brzeski connected on 32 of 69 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Carli Judice goes up against Nicolle Caliari. Judice steps into the Octagon holding a record of 4-2-0. The 26-year-old is weighing in at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Caliari measures in at 5'3" and will fight at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her record of 8-3-0. The 28-year-old extends her reach 62". When it comes to grappling, Carli Judice gets a takedown 0.95 times per 15 minutes and Nicolle Caliari takes her opponents to the canvas 3.80 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Judice lands an average of 11.18 strikes/min and is landing 53% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Nicolle Caliari, who connects on 41% of the strikes she has thrown and connects for an average of 3.85 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Dustin Poirier is set to square up in the Octagon against Max Holloway. Holloway walks into the cage holding a record of 26-8-0. The 33-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Poirier comes in at 5'9" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 30-9-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding takedowns, Max Holloway is preventing 83% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents down on 53% of his tries. Poirier is finishing his takedown tries on 36% of the attempts he tries and defends against 64% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Holloway absorbs 4.76 strikes/min and he is dishing out 7.16 per minute. Poirier, on the other side, absorbs 4.33 strikes per min and is dishing out 5.30 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Lukasz Brzeski (+176)
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