Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta
UFC Shanghai
Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai, China
Saturday, August 23, 2025
Sergei Pavlovich will take on Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 23, 2025. The opener has Pavlovich priced at -220 while Cortes-Acosta is coming in at +185.
Sergei Pavlovich looks to add a win to his career record of 19-3-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 257 lbs and measures 6'3". The southpaw fighter stretches 84". Waldo "Salsa Boy" Cortes-Acosta measures in at 6'4" and weighs 260 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 14-1-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 78". Concerning significant strikes, Sergei Pavlovich lands 4.54 per min and Waldo Cortes-Acosta connects on 5.98 significant strikes per min. Pavlovich is connecting on 43% of the significant strikes he throws while Cortes-Acosta connects on 48%. In terms of defending in the cage, Pavlovich takes 3.81 significant strikes per minute and "Salsa Boy" absorbs 3.43. Pavlovich also stops 54% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Cortes-Acosta curbs 55% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Shanghai | Sergei Pavlovich | Waldo Cortes-Acosta |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -220 | +185 |
| Record | 19-3-0 | 14-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 4:47 | 11:50 |
| Height | 6'3" | 6'4" |
| Weight | 257 lbs | 260 lbs |
| Reach | 84" | 78" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.54 | 5.98 |
| Striking Accuracy | 43% | 48% |
In the grappling category, Sergei Pavlovich is the more effective wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.63 times per 15 min. Pavlovich is finishing his takedown attempts on 40% of his tries and stuffing 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Cortes-Acosta is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of his takedown attempts and stopping 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Pavlovich is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Cortes-Acosta looks to get 0.1 finishes per 15 min.
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In his last fight, Sergei Pavlovich went up against Jairzinho Rozenstruik and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Rozenstruik ended up landing 23 of 63 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Pavlovich walked away from this fight having landed 145 of 208 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Rozenstruik landed 17 of 55, giving him a percentage of 30%. He ended up landing 7 of 43 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Pavlovich ended up landing 41% of his significant strikes by sticking 25 of 60. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 21 of 55 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Rozenstruik and 100% of them connected on by Pavlovich were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Waldo Cortes-Acosta, he faced off with Serghei Spivac and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Spivac ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Cortes-Acosta ended up connecting on 95% of his significant strikes at distance. Cortes-Acosta landed 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 110 of 235. He ended up connecting on 76 of 196 significant strikes aimed at the head. Spivac ended up landing 48 of 119 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 39 of 109 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Spivac ended up landing 53 of 124 and Cortes-Acosta was 111 of 236 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Sumudaerji squares up against Kevin Borjas. Sumudaerji holds a record of 17-7-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 72". Borjas comes in at 5'5" and steps on the scale at 126 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old has a wingspan of 68". Regarding grappling, Sumudaerji is averaging a takedown 0.18 times per 3 rds and Kevin Borjas gets a takedown 0.40 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Sumudaerji tags his opponents 4.40 strikes per minute and connecting on 51% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Kevin Borjas, who tags his opponent on 44% of the strikes he has tried and is connecting on 5.10 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Kiefer Crosbie is set to clash with Taiyilake Nueraji. Nueraji looks to add a win to his career record of 11-1-0 (1 NC). The 24-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and stands 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Crosbie comes in at 5'11" and records a weight of 171 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 10-5-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 70". In terms of grappling, Taiyilake Nueraji stops 10% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of his tries. Crosbie is taking his opponents down on 10% of his tries and thwarts 10% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Nueraji takes 7.39 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 11.01 per min. Crosbie, in contrast, is absorbing 4.97 strikes/minute and deals 6.27 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Sergei Pavlovich (-220)
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