Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay
UFC Shanghai
Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai, China
Saturday, August 23, 2025
Uran Satybaldiev will face off against Diyar Nurgozhay at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 23, 2025. The opening odds have Satybaldiev at -156 while Nurgozhay is priced at +136.
Uran "Gorilla" Satybaldiev has a mark of 8-1-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Diyar Nurgozhay comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 206 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 74". With respect to significant strikes, Uran Satybaldiev is landing 2.40 per min and Diyar Nurgozhay is landing 3.13 significant strikes per minute. Satybaldiev lands 25% of the significant strikes he throws while Nurgozhay connects on 48%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "Gorilla" takes 3.87 significant strikes per minute and Nurgozhay absorbs 3.40. Satybaldiev also stops 45% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Nurgozhay defends against 59% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Shanghai | Uran Satybaldiev | Diyar Nurgozhay |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -156 | +136 |
| Record | 8-1-0 | 10-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 15:00 | 7:30 |
| Height | 6'4" | 6'2" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 206 lbs |
| Reach | 79" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.40 | 3.13 |
| Striking Accuracy | 25% | 48% |
In terms of wrestling, Uran Satybaldiev is the not as competent as a grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes. Satybaldiev is getting his opponent to the mat on 10% of the times he tries and stopping 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Nurgozhay is finishing his takedowns on 90% of his takedown tries and is stopping 90% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the sub, Satybaldiev is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Nurgozhay tries 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!
NICK MENKEN is up over +1,895 over the last 30 days in UFC, including a 7-Unit win last week with Andrey Pulyaev. Menken is back with a 7-Unit UFC Play (8:45 p.m.) tonight and this is part of a three-play card. Sign up now and get in on the action. You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now! |
Get all of our Free UFC Picks
In his last appearance in the Octagon, Uran Satybaldiev faced Martin Buday and wound up walking away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Buday ended up landing 142 of 211 total strikes that he let go. Satybaldiev finished this fight landing 45 of 154 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Buday landed 58 of 107, which means his percentage was 54%. He ended up landing 29 of 72 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Satybaldiev landed 25% of his significant strikes by connecting on 36 of 141. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 19 of 120 pointed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Buday and 88% of them connected on by Satybaldiev were done at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Diyar Nurgozhay, he squared up with Brendson Ribeiro and wound up walking away in defeat by way of a kimura from bottom side control in round 2. Ribeiro connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Nurgozhay connected on 94% of his significant strikes at distance. Nurgozhay connected on 43% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 17 of 39. He ended up connecting on 5 of 21 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ribeiro connected on 28 of 58 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he landed 13 of 35 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes that he threw in that fight, Ribeiro was 29 of 60 and Nurgozhay ended up connecting on 20 of 42 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Johnny Walker squares up with Zhang Mingyang. Walker looks to add a victory to his record of 21-9-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 82". Mingyang stands 6'2" and records a weight of 204 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 19-6-0. The 27-year-old stretches 75". When it comes to grappling, Johnny Walker gets a takedown 0.45 times per 15 minutes and Zhang Mingyang gets a takedown 0.30 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Walker connects for an average of 3.87 strikes per minute and landing 53% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Zhang Mingyang, who is connecting on 64% of the strikes he has thrown and is landing 10.91 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Aljamain Sterling is set to fight Brian Ortega. Ortega walks into the cage holding a mark of 16-4-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old weighs 145 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The switch fighter stretches 69". Sterling stands 5'7" and weighs 144 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 24-5-0. The 36-year-old has an arm span of 71". When it comes to takedowns, Brian Ortega is able to defend against 55% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 26% of his tries. Sterling is finishing his takedown tries on 29% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 42% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Ortega absorbs 6.59 strikes per minute while he connects on 4.08 strikes per min. Sterling, on the contrary, is taking 2.21 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.41 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Diyar Nurgozhay (+136)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Uran Satybaldiev vs Diyar Nurgozhay Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Yizha vs Westin Wilson Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Taiyilake Nueraji vs Kiefer Crosbie Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Sergei Pavlovich vs Waldo Cortes-Acosta Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Johnny Walker vs Zhang Mingyang Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Maheshate vs Gauge Young Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Sumudaerji vs Kevin Borjas Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Lone'er Kavanagh vs Charles Johnson Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Michel Pereira vs Kyle Daukaus Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds
- Rongzhu vs Austin Hubbard Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds