Vitor Petrino vs Austen Lane Pick, 07/12/2025 Predictions UFC Nashville Odds

Vitor Petrino vs Austen Lane

UFC Nashville

Bridgestone Arena in Nashville

Saturday, July 12, 2025

Vitor Petrino will face off with Austen Lane at UFC Nashville on Saturday, July 12, 2025. The opening line has Petrino priced at -650 while Lane is priced at +460.

Vitor Petrino steps into the Octagon holding a record of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Austen Lane stands 6'6" and is weighing in at 245 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 13-6-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 80". Regarding significant strikes, Vitor Petrino is landing 2.83 per minute and Austen Lane is landing 2.98 significant strikes per min. Petrino is landing 45% of the significant strikes he attempts and Lane lands 50%. When it comes to defending themselves, Petrino takes 2.71 significant strikes per min and Lane takes 2.41. Petrino also defends against 47% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Lane is able to defend against 40% of the shots thrown in his direction.

When it comes to grappling, Vitor Petrino is the more skilled grappler as he scores a takedown 3.24 times per 15 minutes. Petrino is finishing his takedown attempts on 57% of his attempts and is stopping 71% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Lane is taking his opponents to the mat on 28% of the takedowns he tries and is defending 50% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submissions, Petrino is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 0.6 submissions per 15 min while Lane tries 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.

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The last time he fought, Vitor Petrino went up against Dustin Jacoby and ended up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 3. Jacoby ended up landing 47 of 100 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Petrino finished this fight landing 40 of 96 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Jacoby ended up landing 45 of 96 , giving him a percentage of 46%. He landed 23 of 69 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Petrino landed 41% of his significant strikes by sticking 40 of 96 . Out of those significant strikes, he landed 27 of 79 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes landed by Jacoby and 100% of them landed by Petrino were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Austen Lane, he faced off with Mario Pinto and wound up losing the fight by a punch to the head in round 2. Pinto connected on 92% of his significant strikes at distance while Lane landed 96% of his significant strikes at distance. Lane landed 50% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 32 of 63 . He ended up connecting on 17 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Pinto connected on 13 of 23 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 8 of 18 aimed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Pinto ended up landing 16 of 26 while Lane ended up connecting on 36 of 75 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Junior Tafa encounters Tuco Tokkos. Tafa will be looking to add a victory to his total of 6-3-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and measures 6'3". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Tokkos stands 6'4" and records a weight of 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 10-5-0. The 35-year-old reaches 76". Regarding grappling, Junior Tafa is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds while Tuco Tokkos is averaging a takedown 2.65 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Tafa tags his opponents 3.36 strikes/minute and connecting on 49% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Tuco Tokkos, who connects on 38% of the strikes that he throws and lands 2.51 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Chris Curtis is set to square up in the Octagon against Max Griffin. Griffin comes into this bout holding a record of 20-11-0. The 39-year-old will fight at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Curtis stands in at 5'10" and weighs in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 31-12-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old has a wingspan of 75". Regarding wrestling, Max Griffin is able to stop 69% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 40% of his attempts. Curtis is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 82% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the matter of striking, Griffin is absorbing 3.66 strikes per min and he is dealing 3.75 per minute. Curtis, notwithstanding, is absorbing 6.43 strikes/minute and connects on 6.16 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Vitor Petrino (-650)

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