Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez Pick, 06/28/2025 Predictions UFC 317 Odds

Viviane Araujo vs Tracy Cortez

UFC 317

T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 28, 2025

Viviane Araujo will take on Tracy Cortez at UFC 317 on Saturday, June 28, 2025. The opening odds have Araujo priced at +185 while Cortez is coming in at -225.

Viviane "Vivi" Araujo walks into the cage with a record of 13-6-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Tracy Cortez measures in at 5'5" and is fighting at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 11-2-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 65". Regarding significant strikes, Viviane Araujo lands 4.04 per minute while Tracy Cortez lands 3.72 significant strikes per minute. Araujo lands 47% of the significant strikes she attempts and Cortez is connecting on 47%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Vivi" takes 4.87 significant strikes per min and Cortez allows 3.02. Araujo also thwarts 56% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Cortez curbs 57% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In terms of takedowns, Viviane Araujo is not as efficient of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 1.86 times per 15 min. Araujo is getting her opponent to the mat on 43% of her tries and is defending 80% of all takedown attempts. Cortez is scoring a takedown on 45% of the takedowns she tries and is stuffing 62% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Araujo is the more able fighter by attempting 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes while Cortez attempts 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.

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In her previous bout, Viviane Araujo went up against Karine Silva and took home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Silva ended up landing 76 of 155 total strikes that she let go. Araujo ended the night having landed 105 of 152 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Silva ended up landing 58 of 132, giving her a percentage of 43%. She ended up landing 26 of 83 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Araujo ended up landing 56% of her significant strikes by landing 48 of 85. Of those significant strikes, she connected on 34 of 70 to the head. 77% of the significant strikes landed by Silva and 85% of them connected on by Araujo were done at distance.

In the last fight for Tracy Cortez, she fought Rose Namajunas and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 5. Namajunas landed 96% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Cortez ended up landing 89% of her significant strikes at distance. Cortez ended up connecting on 29% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 58 of 198. She ended up landing 31 of 162 significant strikes to the head. Namajunas connected on 96 of 180 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up landing 66 of 146 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Namajunas was 119 of 215 while Cortez connected on 85 of 233 of the strikes she threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Ilia Topuria enters the Octagon against Charles Oliveira. Topuria looks to add a victory to his career total of 16-0-0. The 28-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Oliveira measures 5'10" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 35-10-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old has a reach of 74". When it comes to wrestling, Ilia Topuria takes his opponents down 2.02 times per 3 rounds and Charles Oliveira is averaging a takedown 2.25 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Topuria lands an average of 4.69 strikes/minute and is connecting on 47% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Charles Oliveira, who lands 55% of the strikes he attempts and lands 3.40 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Kai Kara-France is set to face off with Alexandre Pantoja. Pantoja has a record of 29-5-0. The 35-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Kara-France stands in at 5'4" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 25-11-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old extends his reach 69". In terms of grappling, Alexandre Pantoja is able to stop 68% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 47% of his tries. Kara-France is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 88% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Pantoja is taking 3.92 strikes per minute while he dishes out 4.41 strikes per min. Kara-France, on the other hand, takes 3.22 strikes/min and dishes out 4.56 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Viviane Araujo (+185)

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