Xiao Long vs SuYoung You Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/20/2025

Xiao Long vs SuYoung You

UFC Shanghai

Mercedes-Benz Arena in Shanghai, China

Saturday, August 23, 2025

Xiao Long will face off against SuYoung You at UFC Shanghai on Saturday, August 23, 2025. The odds have Long priced at +110 while You is priced at -130.

Xiao Long walks into the Octagon with a record of 27-9-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". SuYoung "Yoo-Jitsu" You stands 5'6" and tips the scales at 136 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 15-3-0 (2 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Xiao Long is landing 5.40 per minute while SuYoung You lands 1.88 significant strikes per min. Long is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he tries and You connects on 44%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Long absorbs 4.27 significant strikes per minute and "Yoo-Jitsu" allows 1.32. Long also defends 50% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and You is able to curb 71% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks Xiao Long ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Shanghai	Xiao Long	SuYoung You
Opening Odds	+110	-130
Record	27-9-0	15-3-0 (2 NC)
Average Fight Time	14:18	15:00
Height	5'8"	5'6"
Weight	135 lbs	136 lbs
Reach	70"	65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	5.40	1.88
Striking Accuracy	50%	44%

When it comes to wrestling, Xiao Long is not as efficient of a wrestler as he scores a takedown 0.84 times per 15 min. Long is scoring a takedown on 25% of his tries and stuffing 77% of all takedown attempts. You is finishing his takedown tries on 55% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 66% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Long is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 submissions per 3 rds while You attempts 0.5 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Xiao Long went up against Quang Le and ended up getting the win via a punch to the head in round 3. Le ended up landing 68 of 160 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Long finished this fight landing 92 of 198 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Le ended up landing 64 of 155, giving him a percentage of 41%. He ended up landing 39 of 126 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Long landed 45% of his significant strikes by sticking 87 of 192. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 66 of 158 to the head. 92% of the significant strikes connected on by Le and 91% of them connected on by Long were tallied at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for SuYoung You, he battled AJ Cunningham and got a win for the night via unanimous decision in round 3. Cunningham ended up connecting on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and You landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. You ended up landing 56% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 18 of 32. He connected on 8 of 21 significant strikes aimed at the head. Cunningham ended up connecting on 16 of 52 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 11 of 45 directed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Cunningham ended up landing 19 of 55 and You was 77 of 96 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Uran Satybaldiev opposes Diyar Nurgozhay. Satybaldiev has a mark of 8-1-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Nurgozhay comes in at 6'2" and will fight at 206 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 10-1-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 74". Regarding grappling, Uran Satybaldiev takes his opponents down 0.60 times per 15 minutes while Diyar Nurgozhay gets a takedown 2.00 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Satybaldiev is landing 2.40 strikes/minute and connects on 25% of his attempted strikes. On the other side we have Diyar Nurgozhay, who tags the opposition on 48% of the strikes he attempts and lands 3.13 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Zhang Mingyang is set to battle Johnny Walker. Walker looks to add a victory to his record of 21-9-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 82". Mingyang stands 6'2" and records a weight of 204 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 19-6-0. The 27-year-old stretches 75". Concerning wrestling, Johnny Walker is able to defend against 57% of his opponents' takedown tries and is taking his opponents down on 90% of his attempts. Mingyang is taking his opponents down on 10% of the attempts he tries and deflects 50% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, Walker absorbs 3.12 strikes/minute and he dishes out 3.87 strikes/minute. Mingyang, at the same time, is taking 4.55 strikes/minute and is landing 10.91 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Xiao Long (+110)

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Xiao Long vs SuYoung You Pick, 08/23/2025 Predictions UFC Shanghai Odds

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