Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate Pick, 05/03/2025 Predictions UFC Des Moines Odds

Yana Santos vs Miesha Tate

UFC Des Moines

Wells Fargo Arena in Des Moines, IA

Saturday, May 3, 2025

Yana Santos will face off against Miesha Tate at UFC Des Moines on Saturday, May 3, 2025. The line has Santos at +114 while Tate is priced at -135.

Yana Santos walks into the Octagon holding a record of 15-8-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Miesha "Cupcake" Tate stands in at 5'6" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 20-9-0. The 38-year-old stretches 65". With respect to significant strikes, Yana Santos connects on 4.42 per min and Miesha Tate is connecting on 2.62 significant strikes per min. Santos connects on 58% of the significant strikes she attempts and Tate is connecting on 45%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Santos allows 3.12 significant strikes per minute and "Cupcake" absorbs 2.98. Santos also stops 50% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Tate is able to curb 51% of the shots thrown in her direction.

In terms of grappling, Yana Santos is not as effective of a wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.97 times per 15 minutes. Santos is finishing her takedown attempts on 53% of the times she tries and stuffing 42% of the takedowns her opponents try. Tate is scoring a takedown on 31% of her takedown tries and stopping 55% of all takedowns attempted on her. When it comes to subbing opponents, Santos is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.1 subs per 15 min while Tate goes for 1.3 subs per 3 rds.

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In her previous fight, Yana Santos faced Chelsea Chandler and took home the win by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Chandler landed 73 of 152 of the strikes she threw in total in this fight. Santos ended the night having landed 135 of 186 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Chandler ended up landing 56 of 124, giving her a percentage of 45%. She landed 31 of 90 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Santos ended up landing 69% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 94 of 135. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 30 of 58 to the head. 51% of the significant strikes landed by Chandler and 61% of them landed by Santos were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Miesha Tate, she fought Julia Avila and ended up getting the victory in the fight by rear naked choke in round 3. Avila landed 100% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Tate ended up connecting on 15% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Tate landed 86% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 32 of 37. She ended up connecting on 31 of 35 significant strikes directed at the head. Avila connected on 3 of 11 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she ended up connecting on 3 of 11 to the head. When discussing the strikes she fired off in this contest, Avila landed 11 of 21 while Tate ended up landing 127 of 152 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other fights to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Cory Sandhagen encounters Deiveson Figueiredo. Sandhagen will be looking to add a win to his career record of 17-5-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 70". Figueiredo comes in at 5'5" and tips the scales at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 24-4-1. The 37-year-old stretches 68". Regarding grappling, Cory Sandhagen is able to score a takedown 1.19 times per 3 rds while Deiveson Figueiredo is able to score a takedown 1.62 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Sandhagen is landing 5.02 strikes/min and lands 44% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side we have Deiveson Figueiredo, who is connecting on 54% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 2.91 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Bo Nickal is set to take on Reinier de Ridder. de Ridder steps into the cage with a record of 19-2-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures 6'4". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 78". Nickal measures 6'1" and will fight at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 7-0-0. The 29-year-old reaches 76". Regarding wrestling, Reinier de Ridder thwarts 85% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 46% of the times he tries. Nickal is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his tries and is able to thwart 15% of all takedown tries against him. Concerning striking, de Ridder is taking 2.69 strikes/min while he is connecting on 3.28 strikes/min. Nickal, notwithstanding, is absorbing 1.86 strikes per min and connects on 2.65 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Yana Santos (+114)

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