Alex Perez vs Su Mudaerji Pick, 05/30/2026 Predictions UFC Macau Odds
Alex Perez vs Su Mudaerji
UFC Macau
Galaxy Arena in Macau, China
Saturday, May 30, 2026
Alex Perez will battle Su Mudaerji at UFC Macau on Saturday, May 30, 2026. The line has Perez at -127 while Mudaerji is priced at +107.
Alex Perez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 26-10-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 65". Su "The Tibetan Eagle" Mudaerji stands in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 19-7-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding significant strikes, Alex Perez connects on 4.41 per minute and Su Mudaerji connects on 4.43 significant strikes per min. Perez connects on 46% of the significant strikes he attempts and Mudaerji is connecting on 50%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Perez absorbs 3.20 significant strikes per min while "The Tibetan Eagle" absorbs 2.35. Perez also prevents 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Mudaerji is able to thwart 62% of the shots thrown his way.

| UFC Macau | Alex Perez | Su Mudaerji |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -127 | +107 |
| Record | 26-10-0 | 19-7-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 6:48 | 11:08 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 65" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.41 | 4.43 |
| Striking Accuracy | 46% | 50% |
Concerning takedowns, Alex Perez is the more productive grappler as he is able to score a takedown 2.21 times per 3 rounds. Perez is scoring a takedown on 48% of his tries and stuffing 75% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Mudaerji is taking his opponents down on 35% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 72% of the tries against him. When it comes to sub attempts, Perez is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.7 submissions per 3 rounds while Mudaerji tries 0.5 submissions per 15 minutes.
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The last time he fought, Alex Perez faced Charles Johnson and wound up taking home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Johnson ended up landing 8 of 25 total strikes attempted in that contest. Perez finished this fight landing 55 of 94 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Johnson landed 8 of 25, which gave him a percentage of 32%. He landed 4 of 14 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Perez ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by landing 39 of 75. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 27 of 60 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Johnson and 84% of them landed by Perez were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Su Mudaerji, he fought Jesus Aguilar and wound up taking home the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Aguilar landed 96% of his significant strikes at distance and Mudaerji landed 88% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Mudaerji ended up landing 41% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 62 of 148. He ended up landing 44 of 116 significant strikes directed at the head. Aguilar landed 31 of 106 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 12 of 63 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Aguilar ended up landing 42 of 120 and Mudaerji connected on 69 of 156 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights to keep an eye on
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ding Meng faces off against Jose Souza. Meng looks to add a victory to his record of 35-9-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 73". Souza comes in at 6'3" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old extends his reach 79". In terms of takedowns, Ding Meng takes his opponents to the mat 1.00 times per 3 rds and Jose Souza scores a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Meng tags his opponents 3.40 strikes/minute and is connecting on 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Jose Souza, who tags the opposition on 43% of the strikes he attempts and lands an average of 3.45 per min.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Cody Haddon is set to enter the Octagon with Qileng Aori. Aori will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 26-12-0 (1 NC). The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 69". Haddon comes in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 8-1-0. The 27-year-old has a reach of 69". Concerning grappling, Qileng Aori is preventing 58% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of his tries. Haddon is taking his opponents down on 37% of his attempts and thwarts 83% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Aori is absorbing 5.47 strikes per min and he dishes out 4.69 strikes per minute. Haddon, on the other side, is taking 3.47 strikes/min and is landing 9.20 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Su Mudaerji (+107)
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