Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
Alexander Volkanovski vs Movsar Evloev
UFC 333
Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE
Saturday, October 24, 2026
Alexander Volkanovski will face off against Movsar Evloev at UFC 333 on Saturday, October 24, 2026. The opening moneyline has Volkanovski at -109 while Evloev is coming in at -107.
Alexander "The Great" Volkanovski steps into the Octagon holding a record of 28-4-0. The 38-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and measures 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Movsar Evloev stands in at 5'7" and will fight at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 20-0-0. The 32-year-old reaches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Alexander Volkanovski is landing 5.99 per minute and Movsar Evloev is connecting on 3.91 significant strikes per min. Volkanovski is landing 57% of the significant strikes he throws while Evloev is connecting on 47%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Great" absorbs 3.31 significant strikes per minute and Evloev takes 2.80. Volkanovski also stops 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Evloev is able to thwart 61% of them.
| UFC 333 | Alexander Volkanovski | Movsar Evloev |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -109 | -107 |
| Record | 28-4-0 | 20-0-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 16:50 | 16:00 |
| Height | 5'6" | 5'7" |
| Weight | 145 lbs | 145 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 72" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.99 | 3.91 |
| Striking Accuracy | 57% | 47% |
In terms of grappling, Alexander Volkanovski is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.63 times per 15 min. Volkanovski is taking his opponents to the canvas on 34% of the times he tries and is stopping 68% of all takedown attempts. Evloev is taking his opponents down on 52% of his takedown attempts and is defending 61% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, Volkanovski is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.2 submissions per 15 min while Evloev goes for 0.5 submissions per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Alexander Volkanovski faced Diego Lopes and took home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Lopes ended up landing 74 of 162 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Volkanovski finished this fight landing 112 of 178 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Lopes landed 70 of 158, which gave him a rate of 44%. He landed 33 of 98 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Volkanovski landed 61% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 98 of 160. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 72 of 118 aimed at the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Lopes and 89% of them connected on by Volkanovski were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Movsar Evloev, he fought Lerone Murphy and ended up winning this fight via majority decision in round 5. Murphy connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Evloev ended up connecting on 93% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Evloev connected on 45% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 86 of 189. He ended up connecting on 47 of 134 significant strikes to the head. Murphy ended up connecting on 89 of 239 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 45 of 175 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he let go, Murphy was 89 of 239 while Evloev ended up connecting on 124 of 234 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Petr Yan enters the Octagon against Merab Dvalishvili. Yan comes into this fight with a mark of 20-5-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter reaches 67". Dvalishvili measures in at 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 21-5-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In the grappling category, Petr Yan takes his opponents down 1.70 times per 3 rds and Merab Dvalishvili is averaging a takedown 5.97 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Yan connects for an average of 5.16 strikes/min and lands 54% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Merab Dvalishvili, who tags the opposition on 41% of the strikes that he throws and connects for an average of 4.42 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Ramazan Temirov is set to enter the Octagon with Lone'er Kavanagh. Kavanagh walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Temirov stands 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 20-3-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 63". Concerning grappling, Lone'er Kavanagh is thwarting 82% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 46% of his attempts. Temirov is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries and is able to defend against 90% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Kavanagh is absorbing 3.94 strikes/min and he deals 4.13 strikes/min. Temirov, in contrast, is taking 3.65 strikes/min and dishes out 4.73 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Alexander Volkanovski (-109)
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