Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova
UFC Vegas 122
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Alice Pereira will enter the Octagon with Daria Zhelezniakova at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The line has Pereira coming in at -139 while Zhelezniakova is coming in at +119.
Alice "Golden Girl" Pereira comes into this fight with a mark of 7-1-0. The 20-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 71". Daria "Iron Lady" Zhelezniakova stands in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old stretches 68". In terms of significant strikes, Alice Pereira is landing 2.83 per min while Daria Zhelezniakova lands 4.13 significant strikes per min. Pereira connects on 36% of the significant strikes she tries while Zhelezniakova is connecting on 40%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Golden Girl" allows 3.11 significant strikes per min while "Iron Lady" absorbs 3.38. Pereira also deflects 66% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Zhelezniakova curbs 64% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 122 | Alice Pereira | Daria Zhelezniakova |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -139 | +119 |
| Record | 7-1-0 | 10-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 12:12 | 12:13 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.83 | 4.13 |
| Striking Accuracy | 36% | 40% |
Regarding grappling, Alice Pereira is the more apt wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. Pereira is scoring a takedown on 15% of her tries and is stopping 75% of all takedown attempts. Zhelezniakova is scoring a takedown on 85% of her takedown tries and thwarting 50% of the attempts against her. When it comes to submissions, Pereira is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.8 submissions per 3 rounds while Zhelezniakova goes for 0.6 submissions per 15 min.
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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Alice Pereira went up against Hailey Cowan and ended up getting the victory by a knee to the head in round 2. Cowan ended up landing 56 of 97 total strikes that she let go. Pereira ended the night having landed 86 of 128 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Cowan landed 31 of 64, which gave her a percentage of 48%. She ended up landing 17 of 42 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Pereira ended up landing 45% of her significant strikes by connecting on 32 of 71. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 21 of 54 to the head. 74% of the significant strikes landed by Cowan and 84% of them landed by Pereira were tallied at a distance.
In the last fight for Daria Zhelezniakova, she went up against Melissa Croden and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Croden connected on 62% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance and Zhelezniakova ended up connecting on 85% of her significant strikes at distance. Zhelezniakova connected on 34% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 41 of 118. She ended up connecting on 30 of 100 significant strikes directed at the head. Croden landed 69 of 153 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she connected on 51 of 121 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Croden ended up connecting on 92 of 185 while Zhelezniakova was 81 of 163 of all the strikes she threw.
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Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ernesta Kareckaite meets Melissa Gatto. Kareckaite has a career mark of 6-2-1. The 28-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Gatto measures 5'5" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 9-3-2. The 30-year-old reaches 69". In terms of takedowns, Ernesta Kareckaite gets a takedown 0.75 times per 3 rds and Melissa Gatto takes her opponents to the mat 1.77 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Kareckaite connects for an average of 7.28 strikes/min and is connecting on 42% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Melissa Gatto, who lands 49% of the strikes she has thrown and connects for an average of 3.47 per min.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Christian Leroy Duncan is set to face off against Brendan Allen. Allen holds a career record of 27-7-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Leroy Duncan stands in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The switch fighter holds a record of 15-2-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 79". Concerning grappling, Brendan Allen deflects 57% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedown tries on 41% of his attempts. Leroy Duncan is finishing his takedown tries on 20% of his attempts and prevents 57% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With reference to striking, Allen is absorbing 3.78 strikes/minute while he is connecting on 3.75 strikes/minute. Leroy Duncan, in contrast, is absorbing 2.36 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.45 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Daria Zhelezniakova (+119)
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