Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara Pick, 08/08/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 120 Odds
Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara
UFC Vegas 120
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 8, 2026
Amanda Lemos will enter the Octagon against Alexia Thainara at UFC Vegas 120 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. The opening line has Lemos coming in at +195 while Thainara is coming in at -235.
Amanda Lemos will be looking to add a win to her record of 15-6-1. The 39-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Alexia "Burguesinha" Thainara stands 5'4" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 14-1-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 67". Concerning significant strikes, Amanda Lemos lands 2.75 per minute and Alexia Thainara lands 4.62 significant strikes per minute. Lemos is connecting on 55% of the significant strikes she attempts while Thainara is landing 43%. In terms of defending in the cage, Lemos takes 3.01 significant strikes per min while "Burguesinha" absorbs 2.46. Lemos also deflects 45% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her and Thainara deflects 59% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 120 | Amanda Lemos | Alexia Thainara |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +195 | -235 |
| Record | 15-6-1 | 14-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 10:46 | 12:23 |
| Height | 5'4" | 5'4" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 65" | 67" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.75 | 4.62 |
| Striking Accuracy | 55% | 43% |
Concerning grappling, Amanda Lemos is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.02 times per 3 rounds. Lemos is scoring a takedown on 64% of her tries and is stopping 63% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Thainara is scoring a takedown on 57% of her takedown tries and stuffing 85% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. In terms of going for the sub, Lemos is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes while Thainara attempts 1.8 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Amanda Lemos squared up with Gillian Robertson and walked away with a loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Robertson landed 64 of 81 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Lemos ended the night having landed 51 of 84 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Robertson ended up landing 12 of 26, giving her a percentage of 46%. She finished the fight landing 5 of 12 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Lemos ended up landing 57% of her significant strikes by landing 42 of 73. Of those significant strikes, she landed 31 of 61 to the head. 83% of the significant strikes landed by Robertson and 64% of them connected on by Lemos were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Alexia Thainara, she faced off with Bruna Brasil and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Brasil connected on 83% of her significant strikes at distance while Thainara connected on 72% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Thainara connected on 48% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 73 of 150. She connected on 32 of 91 significant strikes aimed at the head. Brasil ended up connecting on 37 of 56 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 13 of 29 to the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Brasil was 72 of 94 while Thainara landed 137 of 227 of all the strikes she attempted.
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Another fight to keep an eye on is when Juliana Miller enters the Octagon with Ravena Oliveira. Miller steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 5-4-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 66". Oliveira measures in at 5'5" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 7-4-1. The 29-year-old reaches 65". When it comes to grappling, Juliana Miller gets a takedown 2.16 times per 3 rds while Ravena Oliveira is able to score a takedown 0.88 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Miller connects on 2.65 strikes/min and is connecting on 39% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Ravena Oliveira, who lands 30% of the strikes she attempts and connects on 1.91 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Quillan Salkilld is set to enter the Octagon with Mateusz Gamrot. Gamrot looks to add a victory to his total of 26-4-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 70". Salkilld stands 6'0" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 12-1-0. The 26-year-old extends his reach 75". Concerning grappling, Mateusz Gamrot thwarts 83% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown tries on 38% of his attempts. Salkilld is finishing his takedown tries on 35% of the tries he takes and defends against 80% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Gamrot absorbs 2.81 strikes/min while he deals 3.21 strikes/minute. Salkilld, in contrast, is absorbing 3.03 strikes per minute and is dealing 5.01 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Amanda Lemos (+195)
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