Azamat Murzakanov vs Paulo Costa Pick, 04/11/2026 Predictions UFC 327 Odds

Azamat Murzakanov vs Paulo Costa

UFC 327

Kaseya Center in Miami

Saturday, April 11, 2026

Azamat Murzakanov will battle Paulo Costa at UFC 327 on Saturday, April 11, 2026. The opener has Murzakanov at -205 while Costa is at +175.

Azamat "The Professional" Murzakanov steps into the Octagon with a record of 16-0-0. The 36-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter stretches 71". Paulo "The Eraser" Costa comes in at 6'1" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 15-4-0. The 34-year-old stretches 72". In the category of significant strikes, Azamat Murzakanov connects on 4.70 per min and Paulo Costa is connecting on 6.26 significant strikes per minute. Murzakanov connects on 57% of the significant strikes he attempts while Costa is landing 58%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Professional" allows 2.86 significant strikes per minute and "The Eraser" takes 6.20. Murzakanov also defends 60% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Costa defends against 49% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of takedowns, Azamat Murzakanov is the more skilled grappler as he is able to score a takedown 0.55 times per 3 rounds. Murzakanov is scoring a takedown on 15% of his tries and defending 87% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Costa is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 80% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Murzakanov is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.6 finishes per 15 min while Costa goes for 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Azamat Murzakanov fought Aleksandar Rakic and ended up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Rakic landed 13 of 18 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Murzakanov ended the night having landed 4 of 9 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Rakic landed 9 of 14, which gave him a percentage of 64%. He finished the fight landing 0 of 3 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Murzakanov landed 37% of his significant strikes by sticking 3 of 8. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 1 of 6 pointed at the head. 88% of the significant strikes connected on by Rakic and 66% of them connected on by Murzakanov were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Paulo Costa, he fought Roman Kopylov and ended up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Kopylov landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Costa ended up connecting on 87% of his significant strikes at distance. Costa connected on 62% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 99 of 159. He landed 34 of 89 significant strikes to the head. Kopylov connected on 48 of 104 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 29 of 79 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Kopylov was 48 of 104 and Costa landed 102 of 162 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Curtis Blaydes encounters Josh Hokit. Blaydes steps into the cage holding a mark of 19-5-0 (1 NC). The 35-year-old is weighing in at 265 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Hokit comes in at 6'1" and tips the scales at 236 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 8-0-0. The 28-year-old stretches 73". In the grappling category, Curtis Blaydes gets his opposition to the mat 5.38 times per 15 minutes and Josh Hokit is averaging a takedown 8.74 times per 3 rounds. In the striking category, Blaydes connects for an average of 3.56 strikes/min and is landing 50% of the strikes that he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Josh Hokit, who tags his opponent on 66% of the strikes that he throws and is landing 6.07 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Johnny Walker is set to fight Dominick Reyes. Reyes looks to add a win to his record of 15-5-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 205 lbs and measures in at 6'4". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 77". Walker measures in at 6'6" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 22-9-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old extends his reach 82". Concerning wrestling, Dominick Reyes is able to deflect 82% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown tries on 28% of his attempts. Walker is taking his opponents down on 60% of his attempts and thwarts 57% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Reyes absorbs 3.49 strikes per minute and he is landing 5.39 per minute. Walker, at the same time, is absorbing 3.09 strikes/min and dishes out 4.06 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Paulo Costa (+175)

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