Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/8/2026

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos

UFC Vegas 117

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Baisangur Susurkaev will enter the Octagon against Djorden Santos at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. The moneyline has Susurkaev coming in at -650 while Santos is priced at +475.

Baisangur "The Real Hunter" Susurkaev holds a career mark of 11-0-0. The 25-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Djorden "Shakur" Santos stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding significant strikes, Baisangur Susurkaev connects on 4.56 per minute while Djorden Santos is connecting on 7.00 significant strikes per minute. Susurkaev is landing 59% of the significant strikes he throws while Santos is landing 44%. Concerning their defense in the cage, "The Real Hunter" absorbs 3.78 significant strikes per minute and "Shakur" absorbs 5.98. Susurkaev also curbs 53% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Santos is able to stop 48% of the shots thrown.

ufc picks Djorden Santos ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 117	Baisangur Susurkaev	Djorden Santos
Opening Odds	-650	+475
Record	11-0-0	11-2-0
Average Fight Time	7:14	15:00
Height	6'2"	6'0"
Weight	185 lbs	185 lbs
Reach	79"	75"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.56	7.00
Striking Accuracy	59%	44%

In terms of wrestling, Baisangur Susurkaev is the more capable grappler as he scores a takedown 2.76 times per 3 rounds. Susurkaev is scoring a takedown on 28% of his tries and is defending 75% of all takedown attempts. Santos is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 86% of the attempts against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Susurkaev is the more capable of the two fighters by going for 0.7 submissions per 15 minutes while Santos attempts 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes.

Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet!

You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!

Get all of our Free UFC Picks

In his last bout, Baisangur Susurkaev squared up with Eric McConico and wound up taking home the victory by a punch to the head in round 3. McConico ended up landing 90 of 150 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Susurkaev walked away from this fight having landed 105 of 143 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, McConico landed 53 of 107, which means his percentage was 49%. He finished the fight landing 28 of 81 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Susurkaev landed 60% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 53 of 88. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 20 of 52 pointed at the head. 67% of the significant strikes connected on by McConico and 79% of them landed by Susurkaev were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Djorden Santos, he battled Ozzy Diaz and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Diaz ended up connecting on 96% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Santos landed 99% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Santos ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 131 of 345. He ended up connecting on 115 of 323 significant strikes to the head. Diaz ended up landing 135 of 261 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 119 of 240 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes thrown, Diaz ended up landing 136 of 262 while Santos ended up connecting on 134 of 348 of all the strikes he threw.

Other bouts to watch

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Clayton Carpenter takes on Jose Ochoa. Carpenter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Ochoa comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 8-2-0 (1 NC). The 25-year-old stretches 67". In terms of takedowns, Clayton Carpenter takes his opponents down 1.99 times per 15 minutes while Jose Ochoa is able to score a takedown 0.43 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Carpenter is landing 3.66 strikes per minute and connecting on 53% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Jose Ochoa, who is connecting on 37% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 3.01 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Sean Strickland is set to enter the Octagon against Khamzat Chimaev. Chimaev comes into this fight with a mark of 15-0-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 75". Strickland comes in at 6'1" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 30-7-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 76". When it comes to takedowns, Khamzat Chimaev prevents 85% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown tries on 55% of the times he tries. Strickland is taking his opponents down on 64% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 76% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Chimaev is absorbing 2.32 strikes per min while he dishes out 4.04 strikes/min. Strickland, on the other hand, takes 4.57 strikes per min and lands 6.04 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Djorden Santos (+475)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks

Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks

Start:	May 9, 2026 @ 10:00 PM
Expert:	Craig Trapp
Free $60 Account Sign Up

Baisangur Susurkaev vs Djorden Santos Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

Most Recent UFC Picks