Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim Pick, 06/06/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 118 Odds

Belal Muhammad vs Gabriel Bonfim

UFC Vegas 118

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 6, 2026

Belal Muhammad will enter the Octagon against Gabriel Bonfim at UFC Vegas 118 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. The odds have Muhammad priced at -120 while Bonfim is coming in at +100.

Belal "Remember the Name" Muhammad steps into the cage holding a mark of 24-5-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Gabriel "Marretinha" Bonfim comes in at 6'1" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-1-0. The 28-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Belal Muhammad is connecting on 4.43 per min while Gabriel Bonfim connects on 4.61 significant strikes per minute. Muhammad connects on 43% of the significant strikes he tries while Bonfim lands 46%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "Remember the Name" allows 3.82 significant strikes per minute and "Marretinha" absorbs 3.68. Muhammad also deflects 55% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Bonfim curbs 63% of them.

In terms of wrestling, Belal Muhammad is the lesser skilled wrestler as he scores a takedown 2.14 times per 15 minutes. Muhammad is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of the times he tries and defending 90% of all takedown tries against him. Bonfim is finishing his takedown attempts on 55% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 76% of the attempts against him. In terms of submissions, Muhammad is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by trying 0.1 subs per 15 minutes while Bonfim tries 1.4 subs per 3 rounds.

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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Belal Muhammad fought Ian Machado Garry and walked away with a loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Garry ended up landing 96 of 167 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Muhammad ended the night having landed 97 of 197 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Garry ended up landing 72 of 141, which means his percentage was 51%. He landed 35 of 98 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Muhammad landed 40% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 56 of 139. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 45 of 126 to the head. 91% of the significant strikes landed by Garry and 92% of them landed by Muhammad were tallied at distance.

In the last fight for Gabriel Bonfim, he went up against Randy Brown and took home the victory by way of a knee to the head in round 2. Brown landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Bonfim connected on 94% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Bonfim ended up landing 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 35 of 64. He connected on 11 of 36 significant strikes aimed at the head. Brown ended up connecting on 33 of 87 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 11 of 48 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Brown ended up landing 33 of 87 and Bonfim landed 35 of 64 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Brendan Allen enters the Octagon against Edmen Shahbazyan. Allen walks into the cage holding a record of 26-7-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 75". Shahbazyan comes in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 16-5-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 74". In terms of takedowns, Brendan Allen takes his opponents to the canvas 1.56 times per 15 minutes and Edmen Shahbazyan scores a takedown 1.62 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Allen is connecting on 3.59 strikes per minute and connects on 53% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Edmen Shahbazyan, who is connecting on 48% of the strikes he has thrown and lands 3.80 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Tom Nolan is set to square up in the Octagon with Fares Ziam. Ziam looks to add a victory to his total of 18-4-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Nolan stands 6'3" and weighs 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career record of 10-1-0. The 26-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding wrestling, Fares Ziam prevents 71% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is scoring a takedown on 40% of his tries. Nolan is finishing his takedown tries on 22% of his attempts and stops 71% of all takedown tries against him. In the matter of striking, Ziam is absorbing 1.53 strikes per min while he lands 2.87 strikes per min. Nolan, on the other side, is taking 4.73 strikes per minute and connects on 5.87 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Belal Muhammad (-120)

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