Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
Brendan Allen vs Christian Leroy Duncan
UFC Vegas 122
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Brendan Allen will face off against Christian Leroy Duncan at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The moneyline has Allen coming in at -140 while Duncan is at +120.
Brendan "All In" Allen holds a career record of 27-7-0. The 30-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Christian "CLD" Leroy Duncan stands in at 6'2" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The switch fighter holds a record of 15-2-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 79". With respect to significant strikes, Brendan Allen is connecting on 3.75 per min and Christian Leroy Duncan is landing 4.45 significant strikes per minute. Allen lands 52% of the significant strikes he attempts while Leroy Duncan lands 57%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "All In" allows 3.78 significant strikes per min and "CLD" absorbs 2.36. Allen also stops 47% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Leroy Duncan stops 54% of the strikes thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 122 | Brendan Allen | Christian Leroy Duncan |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -140 | +120 |
| Record | 27-7-0 | 15-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:19 | 10:33 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'2" |
| Weight | 185 lbs | 185 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 79" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.75 | 4.45 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 57% |
Regarding wrestling, Brendan Allen is the more capable grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 1.52 times per 15 min. Allen is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of his tries and thwarting 57% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Leroy Duncan is finishing his takedowns on 20% of the takedowns he tries and is stopping 57% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Allen is the more experienced of the two fighters by trying 1.1 finishes per 3 rounds while Leroy Duncan looks to get 0.7 finishes per 15 minutes.
Today’s Featured MMA Best Bet! NICK MENKEN has won 10 of 12 UFC plays and has piled up +5,150 in the octagon the last three months. He hit his top play last week and is 12-5, +5,275 this season on UFC picks rated 5.0+. Menken has a 7-Unit UFC Play (10:15 p.m.) as part of a three-fight card. Sign up below and don’t miss it! (ESPARZA has the same side.) You can get this top rated play complimentary when you set up a free $60 account here at Doc’s Sports and use part of it towards his a one day MMA package. Join Now!
|
Get all of our Free UFC Picks
In his last appearance in the Octagon, Brendan Allen faced Edmen Shahbazyan and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Shahbazyan ended up landing 90 of 180 total strikes attempted in that fight. Allen ended the night having landed 91 of 196 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Shahbazyan landed 90 of 180, which gave him a percentage of 50%. He landed 83 of 171 significant strikes to the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Allen ended up landing 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 89 of 194. Of all the significant strikes, he was 61 of 160 to the head. 94% of the significant strikes connected on by Shahbazyan and 88% of them connected on by Allen were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Christian Leroy Duncan, he faced off with Jared Cannonier and wound up taking home the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Cannonier ended up landing 40% of his significant strikes at distance and Duncan ended up connecting on 63% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Duncan landed 58% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 68 of 117. He landed 37 of 85 significant strikes aimed at the head. Cannonier ended up connecting on 15 of 46 significant strikes in that battle. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 7 of 36 to the head. Discussing total strikes thrown, Cannonier ended up connecting on 36 of 69 while Duncan was 94 of 148 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Matheus Camilo fights Jai Herbert. Camilo steps into the cage holding a record of 11-3-0. The 25-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 69". Herbert stands in at 6'1" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 14-6-1. The 38-year-old reaches 77". In the grappling category, Matheus Camilo takes his opponents to the mat 4.16 times per 15 minutes while Jai Herbert is averaging a takedown 0.42 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Camilo lands 2.22 strikes/minute and connecting on 43% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side we have Jai Herbert, who tags his opponent on 41% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 3.19 per minute.
Another bout to watch is when Kai Kamaka III is set to square up with Andre Fili. Fili steps into the cage holding a mark of 25-14-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Kamaka III comes in at 5'7" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 18-8-1. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 69". In terms of wrestling, Andre Fili stops 71% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 46% of his attempts. Kamaka III is taking his opponents to the mat on 53% of his tries and defends against 55% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Fili takes 4.55 strikes/minute while he connects on 3.89 strikes per min. Kamaka III, on the other side, is absorbing 6.03 strikes per min and is connecting on 5.49 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brendan Allen (-140)
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Get all of Today's Free UFC Picks
Get all of Today's Expert UFC Picks
Most Recent UFC Picks
- Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Francisco Prado vs Ismael Bonfim Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Ernesta Kareckaite vs Melissa Gatto Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Julius Walker vs Gerald Meerschaert Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Alice Pereira vs Daria Zhelezniakova Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Matheus Camilo vs Jai Herbert Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Andre Fili vs Kai Kamaka III Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
- Allen Frye Jr. vs RJ Harris Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds