Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast Pick, 08/22/2026 Predictions UFC Sacramento Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 8/18/2026

Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast

UFC Sacramento

Golden 1 Center in Sacramento

Saturday, August 22, 2026

Chris Padilla will face off with Nasrat Haqparast at UFC Sacramento on Saturday, August 22, 2026. The opening odds have Padilla at -102 while Haqparast is at -118.

Chris "Taco" Padilla walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-6-1. The 30-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Nasrat Haqparast measures 5'10" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 18-6-0. The 30-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Chris Padilla is landing 6.19 per minute while Nasrat Haqparast lands 6.36 significant strikes per min. Padilla is landing 54% of the significant strikes he tries while Haqparast is connecting on 45%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Taco" takes 4.88 significant strikes per minute while Haqparast absorbs 6.00. Padilla also deflects 49% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Haqparast thwarts 63% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Chris Padilla predictions best bet odds

UFC Sacramento	Chris Padilla	Nasrat Haqparast
Opening Odds	-102	-118
Record	17-6-1	18-6-0
Average Fight Time	10:39	11:44
Height	5'9"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	74"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.19	6.36
Striking Accuracy	54%	45%

In the grappling category, Chris Padilla is the more effective wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 1.13 times per 15 minutes. Padilla is taking his opponents to the canvas on 28% of his tries and stopping 80% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Haqparast is taking his opponents to the mat on 20% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 86% of the attempts against him. When it comes to going for the sub, Padilla is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.3 submissions per 3 rounds while Haqparast looks to get 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Chris Padilla squared up with MarQuel Mederos and ended up in a draw by way of majority decision in round 3. Mederos ended up landing 117 of 186 total strikes attempted in that contest. Padilla walked away from this fight having landed 164 of 291 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Mederos ended up landing 112 of 180, giving him a percentage of 62%. He ended up landing 81 of 147 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Padilla ended up landing 54% of his significant strikes by connecting on 147 of 271. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he was 71 of 164 pointed at the head. 81% of the significant strikes connected on by Mederos and 84% of them connected on by Padilla were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Nasrat Haqparast, he faced off with Quillan Salkilld and was defeated via a kick to the head in round 1. Salkilld landed 100% of his significant strikes at distance while Haqparast ended up landing 90% of his significant strikes at distance. Haqparast landed 76% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 10 of 13. He connected on 7 of 10 significant strikes to the head. Salkilld connected on 14 of 36 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 6 of 24 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go, Salkilld was 14 of 36 and Haqparast connected on 10 of 13 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Wes Schultz meets Jackson McVey. Schultz steps into the cage holding a record of 9-3-0. The 30-year-old tips the scales at 185 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 77". McVey measures 6'4" and records a weight of 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 7-2-0. The 27-year-old reaches 77". Regarding grappling, Wes Schultz takes his opponents to the mat 2.39 times per 3 rds and Jackson McVey takes his opponents to the canvas 0.50 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Schultz is connecting on 2.91 strikes/min and connecting on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Jackson McVey, who lands 69% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 6.51 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Jeisla Chaves is set to face off with Carli Judice. Judice holds a mark of 6-2-0. The 27-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 68". Chaves measures 5'6" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a record of 8-0-0. The 29-year-old reaches 68". In terms of grappling, Carli Judice is preventing 80% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 25% of the times she tries. Chaves is taking her opponents to the mat on 37% of her tries and deflects 62% of all takedown tries against her. With regard to striking, Judice is taking 6.62 strikes per min and she lands 9.32 strikes per minute. Chaves, moreover, is absorbing 4.20 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.97 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chris Padilla (-102)

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Chris Padilla vs Nasrat Haqparast Pick, 08/22/2026 Predictions UFC Sacramento Odds

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