Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle Pick, 08/08/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 120 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 8/3/2026

Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle

UFC Vegas 120

Meta Apex in Las Vegas

Saturday, August 8, 2026

Darren Elkins will face off with Yadier del Valle at UFC Vegas 120 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. The line has Elkins coming in at +488 while Valle is priced at -670.

Darren "The Damage" Elkins has a mark of 29-12-0. The 42-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Yadier "The Cuban Problem" del Valle comes in at 5'9" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 10-1-0. The 30-year-old reaches 69". In terms of significant strikes, Darren Elkins is connecting on 3.40 per minute and Yadier del Valle lands 4.05 significant strikes per min. Elkins is connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he tries while del Valle connects on 60%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "The Damage" absorbs 3.34 significant strikes per minute and "The Cuban Problem" absorbs 2.16. Elkins also prevents 51% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while del Valle deflects 55% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Darren Elkins predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 120	Darren Elkins	Yadier del Valle
Opening Odds	+488	-670
Record	29-12-0	10-1-0
Average Fight Time	11:41	9:09
Height	5'10"	5'9"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	71"	69"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.40	4.05
Striking Accuracy	38%	60%

When it comes to wrestling, Darren Elkins is the more efficient grappler as he gets a takedown 2.87 times per 15 min. Elkins is taking his opponents to the canvas on 34% of his attempts and is stopping 56% of the takedowns his opponents try. del Valle is finishing his takedown tries on 42% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 58% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Elkins is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 1.1 submissions per 3 rds while del Valle attempts 2.0 submissions per 3 rounds.

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In his last bout, Darren Elkins went up against Julian Erosa and walked away with a loss by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Erosa landed 69 of 92 total strikes attempted in that contest. Elkins finished this fight landing 18 of 45 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Erosa ended up landing 54 of 73, which gave him a rate of 73%. He ended up landing 52 of 71 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Elkins landed 41% of his significant strikes by sticking 13 of 31. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 11 of 28 pointed at the head. 40% of the significant strikes landed by Erosa and 92% of them connected on by Elkins were thrown at distance.

In the last fight for Yadier del Valle, he fought Jordan Leavitt and wound up taking the loss by unanimous decision in round 3. Leavitt ended up connecting on 70% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Valle ended up connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Valle ended up connecting on 30% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 13 of 42. He connected on 4 of 26 significant strikes directed at the head. Leavitt connected on 17 of 45 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 7 of 18 aimed at the head. Discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Leavitt ended up landing 45 of 86 while Valle ended up landing 76 of 112 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Ty Miller squares up with Billy Ray Goff. Miller steps into the Octagon with a mark of 7-0-0 (1 NC). The 26-year-old weighs 170 lbs and measures 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Ray Goff stands in at 5'10" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career record of 9-4-0. The 28-year-old reaches 72". When it comes to grappling, Ty Miller scores a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rounds while Billy Ray Goff gets a takedown 1.75 times per 3 rds. Regarding striking, Miller is connecting on 7.16 strikes/minute and landing 38% of the strikes that he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Billy Ray Goff, who is landing 46% of the strikes he attempts and lands 7.51 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Bruno Lopes is set to enter the Octagon against Diyar Nurgozhay. Nurgozhay has a record of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Lopes measures in at 6'2" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-3-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 74". In the category of takedowns, Diyar Nurgozhay is preventing 80% of the takedowns his opponents try and is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of the times he tries. Lopes is taking his opponents down on 21% of the attempts he tries and is able to stop 85% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Nurgozhay takes 2.81 strikes/min and he is landing 4.52 strikes/minute. Lopes, in contrast, takes 4.21 strikes/min and lands 2.88 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Darren Elkins (+488)

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Start:	August 4, 2026 @ 7:40 PM
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Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle Pick, 08/08/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 120 Odds

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