Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes Pick, 08/08/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 120 Odds
Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes
UFC Vegas 120
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, August 8, 2026
Diyar Nurgozhay will battle Bruno Lopes at UFC Vegas 120 on Saturday, August 8, 2026. The opening moneyline has Nurgozhay coming in at -146 while Lopes is coming in at +126.
Diyar Nurgozhay has a record of 11-2-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 74". Bruno "The Brazilian Cowboy" Lopes measures in at 6'2" and is fighting at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 14-3-0. The 33-year-old has a reach of 74". Concerning significant strikes, Diyar Nurgozhay lands 4.52 per minute while Bruno Lopes is connecting on 2.88 significant strikes per minute. Nurgozhay is landing 59% of the significant strikes he throws and Lopes is landing 43%. In terms of defending themselves, Nurgozhay allows 2.81 significant strikes per min and "The Brazilian Cowboy" absorbs 4.21. Nurgozhay also stops 61% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Lopes is able to thwart 54% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Vegas 120 | Diyar Nurgozhay | Bruno Lopes |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -146 | +126 |
| Record | 11-2-0 | 14-3-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:11 | 7:47 |
| Height | 6'2" | 6'2" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 74" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.52 | 2.88 |
| Striking Accuracy | 59% | 43% |
Regarding takedowns, Diyar Nurgozhay is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.37 times per 3 rds. Nurgozhay is getting his opponent to the mat on 75% of the times he tries and defending 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Lopes is taking his opponents to the mat on 21% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 85% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing opponents, Nurgozhay is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.4 subs per 15 min while Lopes tries 0.8 subs per 3 rds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Diyar Nurgozhay faced Rafael Tobias and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Tobias ended up landing 52 of 114 total strikes attempted in that fight. Nurgozhay finished this fight landing 100 of 150 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Tobias ended up landing 39 of 101, giving him a percentage of 38%. He ended up landing 29 of 86 significant strikes aimed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Nurgozhay landed 65% of his significant strikes by sticking 94 of 143. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 33 of 71 pointed at the head. 66% of the significant strikes connected on by Tobias and 86% of them connected on by Nurgozhay were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Bruno Lopes, he faced off with Navajo Stirling and ended up walking away in defeat via punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Stirling ended up landing 68% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Lopes landed 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Lopes connected on 44% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 28 of 63. He ended up connecting on 15 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Stirling ended up connecting on 63 of 119 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 30 of 74 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown in that contest, Stirling landed 90 of 157 and Lopes landed 36 of 71 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Steven Asplund squares up in the Octagon against Guilherme Pat. Asplund has a record of 7-2-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 260 lbs and comes in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 78". Pat measures 6'6" and will fight at 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 6-1-0. The 32-year-old stretches 81". Regarding grappling, Steven Asplund gets a takedown 0.80 times per 3 rounds and Guilherme Pat is averaging a takedown 0.30 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Asplund is landing 10.05 strikes per min and landing 51% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Guilherme Pat, who tags the opposition on 61% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 2.70 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Alexia Thainara is set to square up in the Octagon against Amanda Lemos. Lemos will be looking to add a win to her record of 15-6-1. The 39-year-old steps on the scale at 115 lbs and measures 5'4". The southpaw fighter reaches 65". Thainara stands 5'4" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a record of 14-1-0. The 30-year-old extends her reach 67". Concerning grappling, Amanda Lemos is able to stop 63% of the takedowns her opponents go for and is scoring a takedown on 64% of her tries. Thainara is taking her opponents to the mat on 57% of the attempts she tries and is able to defend against 85% of all takedown tries against her. In the matter of striking, Lemos is absorbing 3.01 strikes per minute and she is dealing 2.75 per min. Thainara, notwithstanding, is taking 2.46 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.62 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Diyar Nurgozhay (-146)
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