Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola Pick, 09/05/2026 Predictions UFC Paris Odds
Fares Ziam vs Axel Sola
UFC Paris
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 5, 2026
Fares Ziam will take on Axel Sola at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 5, 2026. The odds have Ziam at -150 while Sola is priced at +130.
Fares "The Smile Killer" Ziam will be looking to add a win to his record of 18-5-0. The 29-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and stands in at 6' 1". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Axel Sola measures 6' 0" and tips the scales at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 12-1-1. The 28-year-old stretches 74". In terms of significant strikes, Fares Ziam connects on 2.68 per min and Axel Sola is landing 4.50 significant strikes per minute. Ziam is connecting on 52% of the significant strikes he tries and Sola connects on 50%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "The Smile Killer" takes 1.58 significant strikes per min and Sola allows 4.53. Ziam also defends against 63% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Sola stops 61% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Paris | Fares Ziam | Axel Sola |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -150 | +130 |
| Record | 18-5-0 | 12-1-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:12 | 10:35 |
| Height | 6' 1" | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 75" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.68 | 4.50 |
| Striking Accuracy | 52% | 50% |
In terms of takedowns, Fares Ziam is not as efficient of a grappler as he is able to score a takedown 1.86 times per 15 min. Ziam is finishing his takedown attempts on 42% of the times he tries and is stuffing 70% of the takedowns his opponents try. Sola is scoring a takedown on 36% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 66% of the attempts against him. Regarding submission attempts, Ziam is not as skilled of a technician by trying 0.5 subs per 15 minutes while Sola looks to get 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.
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In his last fight, Fares Ziam squared up with Tom Nolan and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Nolan landed 65 of 116 total strikes that he let go. Ziam finished this fight landing 48 of 70 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Nolan landed 31 of 66, which means his percentage was 46%. He finished the fight landing 13 of 38 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Ziam ended up landing 50% of his significant strikes by landing 16 of 32. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he was 11 of 26 to the head. 41% of the significant strikes connected on by Nolan and 75% of them landed by Ziam were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Axel Sola, he battled Ismael Bonfim and wound up taking home the win via d'arce choke in round 1. Bonfim landed 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Sola connected on 6% of his significant strikes at distance. Sola ended up landing 75% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 33 of 44. He connected on 31 of 42 significant strikes to the head. Bonfim ended up landing 1 of 3 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 0 of 1 directed at the head. When discussing total strikes that he let go in that fight, Bonfim was 1 of 3 and Sola connected on 77 of 96 total strikes.
Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Michael Page opposes Nursulton Ruziboev. Page will be looking to add a win to his career record of 25-3-0. The 39-year-old steps on the scale at 185 lbs and stands 6' 3". The switch fighter extends his reach 79". Ruziboev comes in at 6' 5" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 37-9-2 (2 NC). The 32-year-old extends his reach 76". When it comes to grappling, Michael Page gets a takedown 0.19 times per 3 rounds while Nursulton Ruziboev takes his opponents to the mat 1.36 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Page is landing 2.28 strikes per min and is connecting on 58% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Nursulton Ruziboev, who lands 46% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 2.38 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Punahele Soriano is set to square up against Daniil Donchenko. Donchenko looks to add a win to his record of 15-2-0. The 25-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures in at 5' 11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Soriano stands in at 5' 11" and weighs 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 13-4-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of wrestling, Daniil Donchenko thwarts 75% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents to the mat on 33% of his tries. Soriano is finishing his takedowns on 51% of his tries and is able to curb 48% of the takedowns his opponents try. With reference to striking, Donchenko absorbs 2.80 strikes/minute while he is dishing out 8.07 per min. Soriano, at the same time, takes 3.31 strikes/min and is connecting on 4.42 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Fares Ziam (-150)
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