Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
Felipe Franco vs Brendson Ribeiro
UFC Vegas 122
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Felipe Franco will face off against Brendson Ribeiro at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The opening moneyline has Franco at -360 while Ribeiro is at +291.
Felipe Franco looks to add a victory to his career total of 11-2-0. The 25-year-old tips the scales at 205 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 76". Brendson "The Gorilla" Ribeiro comes in at 6'3" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 17-11-0 (1 NC). The 30-year-old has a reach of 81". When talking about significant strikes, Felipe Franco connects on 2.55 per minute and Brendson Ribeiro is landing 2.94 significant strikes per minute. Franco connects on 57% of the significant strikes he attempts while Ribeiro lands 40%. Regarding defending in the cage, Franco absorbs 2.39 significant strikes per min while "The Gorilla" allows 3.56. Franco also defends against 43% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Ribeiro defends against 53% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 122 | Felipe Franco | Brendson Ribeiro |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -360 | +291 |
| Record | 11-2-0 | 17-11-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 12:09 | 7:33 |
| Height | 6'1" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 76" | 81" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.55 | 2.94 |
| Striking Accuracy | 57% | 40% |
Concerning takedowns, Felipe Franco is the better wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 3.70 times per 3 rounds. Franco is scoring a takedown on 40% of his attempts and stuffing 87% of all takedowns attempted on him. Ribeiro is finishing his takedown attempts on 37% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 32% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding going for the sub, Franco is the lesser skilled fighter by attempting 0.3 submissions per 15 min while Ribeiro tries 0.4 submissions per 3 rds.
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The last time he fought, Felipe Franco squared up with Levi Rodrigues Jr. and took home the victory by way of punches to the head from the mount position in round 2. Jr. landed 26 of 52 total strikes attempted in that contest. Franco finished this fight landing 52 of 72 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Jr. landed 11 of 32, giving him a percentage of 34%. He ended up landing 7 of 27 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Franco landed 69% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 39 of 56. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 38 of 55 to the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Jr. and 30% of them landed by Franco were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Brendson Ribeiro, he squared up with Magomed Tuchalov and was defeated by unanimous decision in round 3. Tuchalov connected on 97% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Ribeiro connected on 94% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Ribeiro ended up landing 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 39 of 118. He landed 18 of 73 significant strikes aimed at the head. Tuchalov ended up landing 35 of 80 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 12 of 46 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes attempted in that contest, Tuchalov ended up connecting on 57 of 110 and Ribeiro connected on 49 of 130 total strikes.
Other bouts to watch out for
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Allen Frye Jr. takes on RJ Harris. Frye Jr. steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 6-1-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 255 lbs and comes in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 80". Harris measures in at 6'3" and weighs 258 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 6-0-0. The 28-year-old reaches 78". When it comes to grappling, Allen Frye Jr. is able to score a takedown 0.90 times per 3 rounds and RJ Harris takes his opponents to the mat 0.40 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Frye Jr. connects on 2.20 strikes/min and connects on 38% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have RJ Harris, who tags the opposition on 57% of the strikes he has tried and is landing 9.00 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ketlen Souza is set to fight Loopy Godinez. Godinez walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-6-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and measures 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 61". Souza measures in at 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 17-6-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 63". Regarding takedowns, Loopy Godinez thwarts 76% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 42% of her tries. Souza is taking her opponents to the mat on 13% of the attempts she tries and curbs 53% of all takedown attempts. In the category of striking, Godinez is taking 3.94 strikes/min and she lands 4.43 strikes/minute. Souza, on the other side, is absorbing 3.89 strikes/minute and is dishing out 4.11 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Felipe Franco (-360)
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