Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry Pick, 08/15/2026 Predictions UFC 330 Odds
Islam Makhachev vs Ian Machado Garry
UFC 330
Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia
Saturday, August 15, 2026
Islam Makhachev will enter the Octagon against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. The line has Makhachev at -380 while Garry is at +303.
Islam Makhachev looks to add a win to his total of 28-1-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Ian "The Future" Machado Garry measures in at 6'3" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-1-0. The 28-year-old stretches 74". Concerning significant strikes, Islam Makhachev lands 2.45 per minute and Ian Machado Garry connects on 4.78 significant strikes per min. Makhachev connects on 58% of the significant strikes he tries while Machado Garry lands 54%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, Makhachev takes 1.45 significant strikes per min while "The Future" allows 2.86. Makhachev also defends against 61% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Machado Garry thwarts 52% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC 330 | Islam Makhachev | Ian Machado Garry |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -380 | +303 |
| Record | 28-1-0 | 17-1-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 11:01 | 14:45 |
| Height | 5'10" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 170 lbs | 170 lbs |
| Reach | 70" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.45 | 4.78 |
| Striking Accuracy | 58% | 54% |
When it comes to wrestling, Islam Makhachev is the more competent wrestler as he gets a takedown 3.10 times per 3 rounds. Makhachev is getting his opponent to the mat on 56% of his tries and is stopping 91% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Machado Garry is taking his opponents down on 31% of his takedown attempts and is stuffing 80% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding going for the sub, Makhachev is the more apt fighter by trying 1.0 sub per 15 min while Machado Garry goes for 0.4 subs per 15 min.
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In his last fight, Islam Makhachev went up against Jack Della Maddalena and wound up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Maddalena landed 30 of 74 total strikes that he let go. Makhachev finished this fight landing 140 of 188 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Maddalena ended up landing 18 of 61, which gave him a percentage of 29%. He landed 10 of 45 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Makhachev landed 52% of his significant strikes by connecting on 30 of 57. Of those significant strikes, he was 14 of 40 pointed at the head. 77% of the significant strikes connected on by Maddalena and 66% of them landed by Makhachev were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Ian Machado Garry, he battled Belal Muhammad and ended up winning this fight by unanimous decision in round 3. Muhammad ended up landing 92% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Garry ended up connecting on 91% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Garry ended up connecting on 51% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 72 of 141. He connected on 35 of 98 significant strikes to the head. Muhammad ended up connecting on 56 of 139 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 45 of 126 to the head. Regarding total strikes attempted in that fight, Muhammad landed 97 of 197 and Garry ended up connecting on 96 of 167 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Mansur Abdul-Malik enters the Octagon against Dustin Stoltzfus. Abdul-Malik steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-1-1. The 28-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Stoltzfus measures in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 16-8-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 75". In the grappling category, Mansur Abdul-Malik takes his opponents to the mat 1.65 times per 15 min and Dustin Stoltzfus scores a takedown 2.08 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Abdul-Malik lands 3.28 strikes per min and connecting on 44% of the strikes that he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Dustin Stoltzfus, who tags his opponent on 45% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 3.30 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Esteban Ribovics is set to enter the Octagon against Edson Barboza. Barboza will be looking to add a win to his career record of 24-14-0. The 40-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Ribovics measures in at 5'10" and steps on the scale at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 15-3-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 69". When it comes to takedowns, Edson Barboza is preventing 73% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedowns on 50% of his tries. Ribovics is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his attempts and defends against 66% of all takedown tries against him. With reference to striking, Barboza absorbs 4.68 strikes per minute while he is landing 4.14 per minute. Ribovics, at the same time, takes 5.83 strikes/minute and is landing 7.27 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Islam Makhachev (-380)
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