Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa Pick, 06/06/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 118 Odds
Iwo Baraniewski vs Junior Tafa
UFC Vegas 118
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, June 6, 2026
Iwo Baraniewski will take on Junior Tafa at UFC Vegas 118 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. The opening moneyline has Baraniewski priced at -370 while Tafa is at +295.
Iwo "Rudy" Baraniewski looks to add a victory to his total of 8-0-0. The 27-year-old weighs in at 205 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Junior "The Juggernaut" Tafa measures in at 6'3" and will fight at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 7-5-0. The 29-year-old stretches 75". With respect to significant strikes, Iwo Baraniewski is connecting on 15.77 per min and Junior Tafa lands 3.62 significant strikes per min. Baraniewski is landing 70% of the significant strikes he throws and Tafa is landing 53%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, "Rudy" absorbs 14.01 significant strikes per minute while "The Juggernaut" allows 2.66. Baraniewski also thwarts 46% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Tafa is able to deflect 51% of the shots thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 118 | Iwo Baraniewski | Junior Tafa |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -370 | +295 |
| Record | 8-0-0 | 7-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 0:46 | 6:54 |
| Height | 6'0" | 6'3" |
| Weight | 205 lbs | 205 lbs |
| Reach | 73" | 75" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 15.77 | 3.62 |
| Striking Accuracy | 70% | 53% |
In terms of takedowns, Iwo Baraniewski is the more productive wrestler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.90 times per 15 min. Baraniewski is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and is stopping 85% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Tafa is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and stuffing 72% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to sub attempts, Baraniewski is the more skilled technician by trying 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes while Tafa goes for 0.6 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his previous fight, Iwo Baraniewski fought Austen Lane and took home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Lane ended up landing 0 of 4 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Baraniewski finished this fight landing 10 of 13 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Lane ended up landing 0 of 4, giving him a percentage of 0%. He landed 0 of 3 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Baraniewski landed 76% of his significant strikes by landing 10 of 13. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 9 of 12 aimed at the head. 0% of the significant strikes landed by Lane and 20% of them connected on by Baraniewski were thrown at a distance.
In the last bout for Junior Tafa, he battled Kevin Christian and wound up taking home the win by an elbow to the head in round 1. Christian connected on 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Tafa ended up connecting on 47% of his significant strikes at distance. Tafa ended up connecting on 67% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 21 of 31. He connected on 20 of 30 significant strikes to the head. Christian ended up landing 13 of 21 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 2 of 7 directed at the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go, Christian connected on 13 of 21 and Tafa ended up connecting on 22 of 32 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Matt Schnell goes up against Alessandro Costa. Schnell walks into the Octagon with a record of 17-10-0 (1 NC). The 36-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 70". Costa comes in at 5'4" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 15-5-0. The 30-year-old reaches 67". When it comes to grappling, Matt Schnell gets his opposition to the mat 0.60 times per 3 rounds while Alessandro Costa takes his opponents to the canvas 0.79 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Schnell lands 4.07 strikes/minute and connecting on 40% of the strikes that he attempts. On the other side of the cage we have Alessandro Costa, who tags his opponent on 45% of his attempted strikes and is connecting on 3.73 per minute.
Another must see fight on the night is when John Yannis is set to take on Marcus McGhee. McGhee comes into this bout holding a record of 10-2-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Yannis stands 5'7" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a record of 10-4-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 70". Regarding wrestling, Marcus McGhee is stopping 90% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is getting his opponent to the mat on 14% of the times he tries. Yannis is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his attempts and is able to curb 66% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, McGhee absorbs 3.64 strikes per minute while he is landing 5.50 per minute. Yannis, on the other hand, is taking 1.26 strikes per min and is landing 3.30 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Iwo Baraniewski (-370)
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