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Free Picks » UFC Picks » Jeisla Chaves vs Yuneisy Duben Pick, 06/06/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 118 Odds

Jeisla Chaves vs Yuneisy Duben Pick, 06/06/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 118 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/4/2026

Jeisla Chaves vs Yuneisy Duben

UFC Vegas 118

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, June 6, 2026

Jeisla Chaves will face off with Yuneisy Duben at UFC Vegas 118 on Saturday, June 6, 2026. The line has Chaves at -350 while Duben is coming in at +285.

Jeisla "A Braba" Chaves will be looking to add a win to her career total of 7-0-0. The 29-year-old will fight at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Yuneisy Duben measures in at 5'4" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career total of 6-1-0 (1 NC). The 29-year-old reaches 65". Regarding significant strikes, Jeisla Chaves lands 5.67 per min and Yuneisy Duben connects on 13.53 significant strikes per min. Chaves is connecting on 51% of the significant strikes she attempts and Duben connects on 48%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "A Braba" allows 4.27 significant strikes per minute while Duben allows 10.75. Chaves also defends against 60% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Duben stops 53% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Jeisla Chaves predictions best bet odds

 

UFC Vegas 118 Jeisla Chaves Yuneisy Duben
Opening Odds -350 +285
Record 7-0-0 6-1-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time 15:00 1:27
Height 5'6" 5'4"
Weight 125 lbs 125 lbs
Reach 68" 65"
Strikes Landed Per Minute 5.67 13.53
Striking Accuracy 51% 48%

In terms of wrestling, Jeisla Chaves is not as effective of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the mat 0.20 times per 15 minutes. Chaves is scoring a takedown on 15% of her tries and stuffing 75% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Duben is getting her opponent to the mat on 15% of the takedowns she tries and defending 15% of the attempts against her. Regarding going for the sub, Chaves is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.5 submissions per 3 rounds while Duben tries 0.8 submissions per 15 min.


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In her previous fight, Jeisla Chaves fought Sofia Montenegro and took home the victory by way of split decision in round 3. Montenegro ended up landing 82 of 188 total strikes that she threw in that fight. Chaves walked away from this fight having landed 97 of 185 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Montenegro landed 64 of 160, which means her percentage was 40%. She landed 45 of 135 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Chaves landed 51% of her significant strikes by landing 85 of 166. Of all the significant strikes, she connected on 49 of 122 aimed at the head. 70% of the significant strikes landed by Montenegro and 90% of them landed by Chaves were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Yuneisy Duben, she went up against Carli Judice and ended up taking the loss via a kick to the head in round 1. Judice ended up landing 88% of the significant strikes she took from distance and Duben connected on 100% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Duben ended up connecting on 34% of her significant strikes attempted by landing 14 of 41. She ended up landing 8 of 32 significant strikes directed at the head. Judice connected on 17 of 43 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she connected on 12 of 34 aimed at the head. Regarding total strikes thrown, Judice ended up landing 19 of 45 while Duben ended up connecting on 14 of 41 of all the strikes she attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ketlen Souza squares up in the Octagon against Ariane Carnelossi. Souza comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-6-0. The 31-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 63". Carnelossi measures 5'2" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 15-4-0. The 33-year-old reaches 61". When it comes to grappling, Ketlen Souza is able to score a takedown 0.46 times per 3 rds while Ariane Carnelossi takes her opponents to the mat 1.08 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Souza is connecting on 4.01 strikes per minute and is connecting on 56% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Ariane Carnelossi, who is landing 38% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 2.63 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Gabriel Bonfim is set to go up against Belal Muhammad. Muhammad steps into the cage holding a mark of 24-5-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Bonfim comes in at 6'1" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 19-1-0. The 28-year-old stretches 72". In the category of takedowns, Belal Muhammad is able to thwart 90% of the takedowns his opponents try and is taking his opponents down on 36% of his attempts. Bonfim is taking his opponents down on 55% of his tries and is able to thwart 76% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Muhammad takes 3.82 strikes/min and he dishes out 4.43 per minute. Bonfim, notwithstanding, takes 3.68 strikes/min and connects on 4.61 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Yuneisy Duben (+285)

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