Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/8/2026

Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon

UFC Vegas 117

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Jim Miller will enter the Octagon against Jared Gordon at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. The opener has Miller coming in at +250 while Gordon is at -300.

Jim "A-10" Miller will be looking to add a win to his career total of 38-19-0 (1 NC). The 42-year-old is fighting at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 71". Jared "Flash" Gordon stands 5'9" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 21-8-0 (1 NC). The 37-year-old extends his reach 68". Regarding significant strikes, Jim Miller connects on 2.92 per minute and Jared Gordon is connecting on 5.64 significant strikes per min. Miller lands 42% of the significant strikes he tries and Gordon connects on 53%. Concerning the fighter's defense, "A-10" allows 3.44 significant strikes per min while "Flash" takes 4.14. Miller also curbs 56% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Gordon is able to stop 55% of them.

ufc picks Jim Miller ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 117	Jim Miller	Jared Gordon
Opening Odds	+250	-300
Record	38-19-0 (1 NC)	21-8-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	9:46	10:53
Height	5'8"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	71"	68"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.92	5.64
Striking Accuracy	42%	53%

In the wrestling category, Jim Miller is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 1.50 times per 3 rounds. Miller is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of his tries and defending 48% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Gordon is getting his opponent to the mat on 32% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 60% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of subbing opponents, Miller is the more experienced submission fighter by attempting 1.7 finishes per 3 rounds while Gordon looks to get 0.6 finishes per 15 min.

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In his previous bout, Jim Miller went up against Chase Hooper and took a loss on the night by unanimous decision in round 3. Hooper landed 59 of 94 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Miller finished this fight landing 22 of 45 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Hooper landed 21 of 44, which gave him a percentage of 47%. He finished the fight landing 13 of 34 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side, Miller landed 37% of his significant strikes by landing 13 of 35. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 11 of 30 to the head. 85% of the significant strikes connected on by Hooper and 53% of them landed by Miller were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Jared Gordon, he went up against Rafa Garcia and walked away with a loss by way of elbows to the head in round 3. Garcia connected on 76% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Gordon connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Gordon landed 34% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 65 of 186. He landed 55 of 171 significant strikes directed at the head. Garcia ended up connecting on 91 of 162 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 74 of 144 directed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Garcia landed 107 of 179 while Gordon ended up landing 80 of 201 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Roman Kopylov takes on Marco Tulio. Kopylov holds a career record of 14-5-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 185 lbs and stands in at 6'0". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 75". Tulio comes in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 14-2-0. The 31-year-old reaches 74". In terms of takedowns, Roman Kopylov is averaging a takedown 1.14 times per 3 rounds and Marco Tulio is averaging a takedown 1.42 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Kopylov connects on 4.59 strikes/min and connects on 50% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Marco Tulio, who tags his opponent on 58% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 6.69 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when William Gomis is set to square up in the Octagon with Pat Sabatini. Sabatini has a career record of 21-5-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". Gomis measures in at 6'0" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 15-3-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Concerning wrestling, Pat Sabatini curbs 50% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 50% of his tries. Gomis is taking his opponents to the mat on 38% of the tries he takes and is able to thwart 72% of all takedown attempts. Concerning striking, Sabatini absorbs 1.09 strikes/minute and he is connecting on 1.69 strikes per min. Gomis, at the same time, absorbs 2.76 strikes/min and dishes out 3.48 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Jim Miller (+250)

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Jim Miller vs Jared Gordon Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

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