Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman Pick, 05/30/2026 Predictions UFC Macau Odds
Kai Asakura vs Cameron Smotherman
UFC Macau
Galaxy Arena in Macau, China
Saturday, May 30, 2026
Kai Asakura will enter the Octagon with Cameron Smotherman at UFC Macau on Saturday, May 30, 2026. The odds have Asakura at -255 while Smotherman is priced at +215.
Kai Asakura will be looking to add a victory to his total of 21-6-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Cameron "The Baby-Faced Killa" Smotherman stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 12-6-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 69". In the category of significant strikes, Kai Asakura is connecting on 2.27 per min while Cameron Smotherman connects on 4.07 significant strikes per minute. Asakura is connecting on 32% of the significant strikes he tries while Smotherman is connecting on 37%. Regarding defense, Asakura takes 3.53 significant strikes per minute while "The Baby-Faced Killa" takes 3.52. Asakura also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Smotherman prevents 58% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Macau | Kai Asakura | Cameron Smotherman |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -255 | +215 |
| Record | 21-6-0 | 12-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 8:22 | 11:30 |
| Height | 5'8" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 69" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.27 | 4.07 |
| Striking Accuracy | 32% | 37% |
In the wrestling category, Kai Asakura is the more skilled grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 3 rounds. Asakura is getting his opponent to the mat on 15% of his attempts and is defending 50% of the takedowns his opponents try. Smotherman is taking his opponents to the mat on 15% of his takedown tries and is defending 62% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Asakura is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rds while Smotherman looks to get 0.7 subs per 3 rds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Kai Asakura faced Tim Elliott and was defeated via guillotine choke in round 2. Elliott landed 42 of 88 total strikes attempted in that fight. Asakura ended the night having landed 38 of 104 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Elliott landed 27 of 71, which gave him a percentage of 38%. He finished the fight landing 18 of 43 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Asakura landed 24% of his significant strikes by sticking 21 of 87. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 17 of 79 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes landed by Elliott and 100% of them connected on by Asakura were done at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Cameron Smotherman, he battled Ricky Simon and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Simon landed 82% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Smotherman ended up landing 86% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Smotherman ended up connecting on 29% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 29 of 99. He connected on 23 of 89 significant strikes directed at the head. Simon ended up connecting on 34 of 74 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he connected on 22 of 62 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes thrown in that contest, Simon connected on 50 of 94 while Smotherman was 33 of 104 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to watch
One more match to look forward to is when Jake Matthews meets Carlston Harris. Matthews walks into the Octagon holding a record of 22-8-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 170 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 73". Harris measures in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 19-7-0. The 38-year-old has a reach of 76". In the grappling category, Jake Matthews is averaging a takedown 1.44 times per 15 min and Carlston Harris is able to score a takedown 1.46 times per 15 minutes. When it comes to striking, Matthews is landing 3.34 strikes per minute and is landing 43% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Carlston Harris, who is connecting on 43% of the strikes he has tried and lands 3.79 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when Su Mudaerji is set to enter the Octagon with Alex Perez. Perez will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 26-10-0. The 34-year-old is fighting at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 65". Mudaerji stands in at 5'8" and steps on the scale at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 19-7-0. The 30-year-old has an arm span of 72". In terms of wrestling, Alex Perez is thwarting 75% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 48% of his tries. Mudaerji is finishing his takedowns on 35% of his attempts and is able to deflect 72% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Perez takes 3.20 strikes per min while he is landing 4.41 strikes per min. Mudaerji, on the contrary, absorbs 2.35 strikes per minute and dishes out 4.43 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cameron Smotherman (+215)
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