King Green vs Jeremy Stephens Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/8/2026

King Green vs Jeremy Stephens

UFC Vegas 117

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 9, 2026

King Green will face off against Jeremy Stephens at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. The moneyline has Green priced at -350 while Stephens is coming in at +285.

King Green will be looking to add a victory to his record of 34-17-1 (1 NC). The 39-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Jeremy "Lil' Heathen" Stephens stands in at 5'9" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 29-22-0 (1 NC). The 39-year-old extends his reach 71". With respect to significant strikes, King Green is landing 6.38 per minute while Jeremy Stephens is connecting on 3.15 significant strikes per min. Green is connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he throws while Stephens is connecting on 40%. In terms of the fighter's defense, Green takes 3.58 significant strikes per min and "Lil' Heathen" allows 3.14. Green also thwarts 62% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Stephens defends against 58% of the strikes thrown his way.

ufc picks King Green ufc predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 117	King Green	Jeremy Stephens
Opening Odds	-350	+285
Record	34-17-1 (1 NC)	29-22-0 (1 NC)
Average Fight Time	10:57	11:33
Height	5'10"	5'9"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	71"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	6.38	3.15
Striking Accuracy	53%	40%

In terms of takedowns, King Green is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he scores a takedown 1.31 times per 3 rounds. Green is taking his opponents to the canvas on 42% of his attempts and is stopping 72% of the takedowns his opponents try. Stephens is scoring a takedown on 38% of the takedowns he attempts and is defending 62% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of submissions, Green is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Stephens attempts 0.4 subs per 3 rds.

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In his last bout, King Green faced Daniel Zellhuber and took home the victory by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Zellhuber ended up landing 17 of 78 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Green ended the night having landed 100 of 148 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Zellhuber ended up landing 17 of 78, giving him a percentage of 21%. He landed 7 of 59 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Green ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 86 of 134. Of those significant strikes, he landed 39 of 72 pointed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes landed by Zellhuber and 82% of them landed by Green were tallied at a distance.

In the last bout for Jeremy Stephens, he faced off with Mason Jones and ended up walking away in defeat via unanimous decision in round 3. Jones ended up landing 91% of his significant strikes at distance while Stephens connected on 97% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Stephens ended up connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 42 of 108. He landed 19 of 79 significant strikes to the head. Jones ended up connecting on 81 of 231 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 50 of 188 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Jones was 104 of 261 and Stephens was 54 of 126 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ateba Gautier takes on Ozzy Diaz. Gautier has a mark of 10-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 185 lbs and stands 6'4". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 81". Diaz comes in at 6'4" and weighs 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage with a record of 10-3-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 79". In the grappling category, Ateba Gautier takes his opponents down 0.49 times per 15 minutes while Ozzy Diaz takes his opponents down 0.70 times per 3 rounds. When talking about striking, Gautier is landing 4.44 strikes/min and connects on 48% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Ozzy Diaz, who is connecting on 50% of the strikes that he throws and is connecting on 6.44 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Yaroslav Amosov is set to square up against Joel Alvarez. Alvarez will be looking to add a win to his record of 23-3-0. The 33-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands in at 6'3". The orthodox fighter stretches 77". Amosov measures in at 6'0" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his career record of 29-1-0. The 32-year-old stretches 75". In terms of wrestling, Joel Alvarez curbs 47% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of his attempts. Amosov is finishing his takedowns on 50% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 15% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Alvarez is taking 3.07 strikes per minute and he lands 4.78 per minute. Amosov, moreover, takes 1.55 strikes/minute and is landing 2.78 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take King Green (-350)

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King Green vs Jeremy Stephens Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

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