Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
Loopy Godinez vs Ketlen Souza
UFC Vegas 122
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Loopy Godinez will enter the Octagon against Ketlen Souza at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The moneyline has Godinez at -215 while Souza is priced at +181.
Loopy Godinez walks into the Octagon with a record of 14-6-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 115 lbs and measures 5'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 61". Ketlen "Esquentadinha" Souza measures in at 5'3" and records a weight of 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her record of 17-6-0. The 32-year-old extends her reach 63". With respect to significant strikes, Loopy Godinez connects on 4.43 per minute while Ketlen Souza is connecting on 4.11 significant strikes per minute. Godinez is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes she attempts and Souza is landing 57%. When it comes to defending in the cage, Godinez absorbs 3.94 significant strikes per min and "Esquentadinha" absorbs 3.89. Godinez also curbs 62% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Souza is able to thwart 53% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 122 | Loopy Godinez | Ketlen Souza |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -215 | +181 |
| Record | 14-6-0 | 17-6-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 13:21 | 9:29 |
| Height | 5'2" | 5'3" |
| Weight | 115 lbs | 115 lbs |
| Reach | 61" | 63" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.43 | 4.11 |
| Striking Accuracy | 49% | 57% |
In the grappling category, Loopy Godinez is the better wrestler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 2.99 times per 15 minutes. Godinez is finishing her takedown attempts on 42% of the times she tries and is defending 76% of the takedowns her opponents try. Souza is scoring a takedown on 13% of the takedowns she tries and is defending 53% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. When it comes to subbing the opposition, Godinez is the more apt fighter by trying 0.8 subs per 15 minutes while Souza looks to get 0.2 subs per 3 rds.
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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Loopy Godinez went up against Tatiana Suarez and took a loss on the night by rear naked choke in round 2. Suarez ended up landing 56 of 77 of the strikes she let go in total for this contest. Godinez walked away from this fight having landed 25 of 33 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Suarez ended up landing 12 of 26, which gave her a rate of 46%. She finished the fight landing 4 of 14 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Godinez ended up landing 72% of her significant strikes by landing 18 of 25. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 16 of 23 pointed at the head. 8% of the significant strikes connected on by Suarez and 11% of them landed by Godinez were thrown at distance.
In the last bout for Ketlen Souza, she faced off with Ariane Carnelossi and wound up getting the win by a kick to the head in round 1. Carnelossi ended up connecting on 100% of her significant strikes at distance and Souza landed 92% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Souza ended up landing 76% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 13 of 17. She connected on 11 of 15 significant strikes to the head. Carnelossi ended up connecting on 8 of 21 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, she connected on 4 of 12 to the head. Relating to total strikes thrown in that contest, Carnelossi ended up connecting on 8 of 21 and Souza connected on 13 of 17 of all the strikes she threw.
Other bouts to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Alice Pereira goes up against Daria Zhelezniakova. Pereira comes into this fight with a mark of 7-1-0. The 20-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 71". Zhelezniakova stands in at 5'9" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 10-3-0. The 30-year-old stretches 68". Regarding grappling, Alice Pereira gets a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min and Daria Zhelezniakova takes her opponents to the canvas 0.31 times per 3 rds. In terms of striking, Pereira is connecting on 2.83 strikes per minute and connects on 36% out of all the strikes she attempts. Joining her in the Octagon is Daria Zhelezniakova, who is landing 40% of the strikes she has attempted and lands 4.13 per min.
Another must see fight on the night is when Melissa Gatto is set to clash with Ernesta Kareckaite. Kareckaite has a career mark of 6-2-1. The 28-year-old weighs 125 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Gatto measures 5'5" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 9-3-2. The 30-year-old reaches 69". Concerning grappling, Ernesta Kareckaite is able to thwart 81% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 60% of her tries. Gatto is taking her opponents to the mat on 27% of her tries and is able to thwart 58% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Kareckaite absorbs 6.47 strikes per minute and she lands 7.28 strikes/minute. Gatto, at the same time, takes 2.67 strikes/minute and lands 3.47 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Loopy Godinez (-215)
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