Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson Pick, 08/15/2026 Predictions UFC 330 Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/9/2026

Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson

UFC 330

Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Mackenzie Dern will battle Gillian Robertson at UFC 330 on Saturday, August 15, 2026. The line has Dern coming in at -250 while Robertson is at +207.

Mackenzie Dern will be looking to add a victory to her career record of 16-5-0. The 33-year-old weighs 115 lbs and stands in at 5'4". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Gillian "The Savage" Robertson stands 5'5" and will fight at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to her career record of 17-8-0. The 31-year-old extends her reach 63". Regarding significant strikes, Mackenzie Dern connects on 3.47 per minute while Gillian Robertson is landing 2.71 significant strikes per min. Dern is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes she tries while Robertson is landing 48%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Dern absorbs 3.93 significant strikes per min while "The Savage" takes 2.86. Dern also stops 51% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt and Robertson deflects 56% of the strikes thrown her way.

ufc picks Mackenzie Dern predictions best bet odds

UFC 330	Mackenzie Dern	Gillian Robertson
Opening Odds	-250	+207
Record	16-5-0	17-8-0
Average Fight Time	14:10	10:20
Height	5'4"	5'5"
Weight	115 lbs	115 lbs
Reach	63"	63"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.47	2.71
Striking Accuracy	41%	48%

In the wrestling category, Mackenzie Dern is not as effective of a grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 0.93 times per 15 min. Dern is scoring a takedown on 18% of her tries and stopping 37% of the takedowns her opponents try. Robertson is getting her opponent to the mat on 40% of the takedowns she tries and thwarting 38% of the attempts against her. When it comes to submission attempts, Dern is the more capable fighter by attempting 1.1 subs per 3 rounds while Robertson goes for 0.9 subs per 3 rds.

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In her previous bout, Mackenzie Dern faced Virna Jandiroba and ended up winning this fight by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Jandiroba ended up landing 208 of 331 total strikes that she let go. Dern walked away from this fight having landed 249 of 372 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Jandiroba landed 106 of 217, which gave her a rate of 48%. She ended up landing 72 of 177 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Dern landed 51% of her significant strikes by landing 118 of 231. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, she was 84 of 193 to the head. 78% of the significant strikes connected on by Jandiroba and 75% of them connected on by Dern were thrown at a distance.

In the last bout for Gillian Robertson, she fought Amanda Lemos and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Lemos ended up landing 64% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance and Robertson landed 83% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Robertson ended up landing 46% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 12 of 26. She ended up landing 5 of 12 significant strikes to the head. Lemos ended up connecting on 42 of 73 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, she landed 31 of 61 to the head. Regarding the strikes she fired off in this contest, Lemos connected on 51 of 84 while Robertson was 64 of 81 of the strikes she threw in total.

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An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Islam Makhachev faces off against Ian Machado Garry. Makhachev looks to add a win to his total of 28-1-0. The 34-year-old tips the scales at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Machado Garry measures in at 6'3" and weighs 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 17-1-0. The 28-year-old stretches 74". In the grappling category, Islam Makhachev is able to score a takedown 3.10 times per 3 rounds and Ian Machado Garry scores a takedown 0.92 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Makhachev connects on 2.45 strikes/min and lands 58% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Ian Machado Garry, who is landing 54% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 4.78 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Dustin Stoltzfus is set to go up against Mansur Abdul-Malik. Abdul-Malik steps into the Octagon holding a record of 9-1-1. The 28-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter stretches 80". Stoltzfus measures in at 6'0" and tips the scales at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 16-8-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 75". In the category of takedowns, Mansur Abdul-Malik deflects 83% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedown attempts on 41% of his attempts. Stoltzfus is finishing his takedown tries on 37% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 46% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Abdul-Malik takes 4.49 strikes/minute while he deals 3.28 strikes/minute. Stoltzfus, on the other side, is absorbing 3.23 strikes/minute and lands 3.30 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mackenzie Dern (-250)

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Pick:	Atlanta -125
Start:	August 15, 2026 @ 7:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. MLS Soccer Take Atlanta -125 over New York Red Bulls (7:30 p.m. EST, Saturday August 15) We think this is a great spot for Atlanta. They have not been playing their best lately but this will be a homecoming for them as they have not played a home match since May 9, before the World Cup. Even though they lost last time out, we liked what we saw from them at Philly. They were up by two goals most of the match vs the Union but they were a man down and Philadelphia scored two goals in extra time to steal three points. As we stated, Atlanta has not played at home in a long time and we think this return will give them an extra burst of energy and it’s not like the Red Bulls are a great side. They are quite far above Atlanta in the standings but have a -10 goal differential compared to -14 for Atlanta, who have faced a real tough schedule on this road trip. It’s telling that Atlanta is a decent favorite here with their recent performances, and we think this is an amazing spot for them to pick up three points and some momentum for the second half of the season in front of the home fans. Read More Read Less

Mackenzie Dern vs Gillian Robertson Pick, 08/15/2026 Predictions UFC 330 Odds

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