Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz Pick, 05/16/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds
Malcolm Wellmaker vs Juan Diaz
UFC Vegas 117
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, May 16, 2026
Malcolm Wellmaker will battle Juan Diaz at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. The opening odds have Wellmaker priced at -274 while Diaz is priced at +234.
Malcolm "The Machine" Wellmaker will be looking to add a victory to his record of 10-1-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The switch fighter stretches 71". Juan "Pegajoso" Diaz measures 5'8" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 15-1-1. The 27-year-old has an arm span of 69". When talking about significant strikes, Malcolm Wellmaker lands 5.80 per min and Juan Diaz is landing 5.82 significant strikes per min. Wellmaker connects on 56% of the significant strikes he tries and Diaz lands 39%. When it comes to defending themselves, "The Machine" allows 5.39 significant strikes per min and "Pegajoso" takes 5.02. Wellmaker also stops 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Diaz defends against 60% of the strikes thrown his way.
| UFC Vegas 117 | Malcolm Wellmaker | Juan Diaz |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -274 | +234 |
| Record | 10-1-0 | 15-1-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 5:31 | 9:58 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 69" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.80 | 5.82 |
| Striking Accuracy | 56% | 39% |
In the wrestling category, Malcolm Wellmaker is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 0.80 times per 3 rds. Wellmaker is finishing his takedown attempts on 15% of the times he tries and is stopping 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Diaz is scoring a takedown on 33% of his takedown tries and is stopping 15% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding submission attempts, Wellmaker is less likely to go for the finish by trying 0.7 subs per 15 min while Diaz looks to get 0.9 subs per 3 rds.
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In his last bout, Malcolm Wellmaker went up against Ethyn Ewing and ended up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Ewing ended up landing 99 of 179 total strikes that he let go. Wellmaker ended the night having landed 82 of 151 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Ewing ended up landing 85 of 163, which means his percentage was 52%. He finished the fight landing 70 of 147 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Wellmaker landed 52% of his significant strikes by landing 77 of 146. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 35 of 87 pointed at the head. 78% of the significant strikes landed by Ewing and 68% of them landed by Wellmaker were done at a distance.
In the last fight for Juan Diaz, he went up against Kwon Wonil and wound up taking home the win via a spinning back elbow to the head in round 2. Wonil ended up landing 98% of his significant strikes at distance while Diaz landed 98% of his significant strikes at distance. Diaz ended up connecting on 39% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 58 of 146. He ended up connecting on 47 of 132 significant strikes aimed at the head. Wonil ended up landing 50 of 127 significant strikes in that fight. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 35 of 101 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go, Wonil was 52 of 130 and Diaz connected on 74 of 162 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Timmy Cuamba opposes Benardo Sopaj. Cuamba looks to add a win to his career total of 10-3-0. The 27-year-old weighs 135 lbs and comes in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 71". Sopaj stands in at 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 12-3-0. The 25-year-old reaches 66". Regarding grappling, Timmy Cuamba takes his opponents down 1.31 times per 15 min while Benardo Sopaj takes his opponents to the canvas 2.53 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Cuamba lands 2.77 strikes/min and connecting on 44% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Benardo Sopaj, who lands 56% of his attempted strikes and is landing 4.24 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Khaos Williams is set to square up in the Octagon with Nikolay Veretennikov. Veretennikov comes into this fight with a record of 14-7-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and comes in at 6'1". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 74". Williams measures in at 6'0" and is fighting at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 15-5-0. The 32-year-old stretches 77". In the category of takedowns, Nikolay Veretennikov is thwarting 62% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 16% of his tries. Williams is taking his opponents down on 15% of his tries and is able to deflect 51% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Veretennikov takes 3.30 strikes per min while he connects on 2.69 strikes per minute. Williams, on the contrary, is taking 5.39 strikes/minute and is landing 4.94 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Malcolm Wellmaker (-274)
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