Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi Pick, 10/10/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 122 Odds
Malcolm Wellmaker vs Otari Tanzilovi
UFC Vegas 122
Meta APEX in Las Vegas
Saturday, October 3, 2026
Malcolm Wellmaker will face off with Otari Tanzilovi at UFC Vegas 122 on Saturday, October 3, 2026. The opening odds have Wellmaker at -205 while Tanzilovi is at +173.
Malcolm "The Machine" Wellmaker has a career mark of 10-2-0. The 32-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands 5'10". The switch fighter has an arm span of 71". Otari Tanzilovi measures in at 5'9" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career record of 10-2-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In the category of significant strikes, Malcolm Wellmaker lands 4.58 per min while Otari Tanzilovi lands 4.20 significant strikes per minute. Wellmaker lands 55% of the significant strikes he tries and Tanzilovi is landing 68%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Machine" absorbs 4.23 significant strikes per minute while Tanzilovi allows 4.20. Wellmaker also curbs 52% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Tanzilovi is able to stop 49% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Vegas 122 | Malcolm Wellmaker | Otari Tanzilovi |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -205 | +173 |
| Record | 10-2-0 | 10-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 6:15 | 15:00 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'9" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 71" | 70" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.58 | 4.20 |
| Striking Accuracy | 55% | 68% |
When it comes to wrestling, Malcolm Wellmaker is the lesser skilled grappler as he is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 min. Wellmaker is scoring a takedown on 15% of the times he tries and thwarting 46% of all takedowns attempted on him. Tanzilovi is finishing his takedown attempts on 36% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Wellmaker is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by attempting 0.3 subs per 15 min while Tanzilovi tries 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Malcolm Wellmaker squared up with Juan Diaz and walked away in defeat by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Diaz landed 18 of 32 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Wellmaker finished this fight landing 15 of 34 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Diaz ended up landing 13 of 25, which means his percentage was 52%. He finished the fight landing 3 of 9 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Wellmaker landed 45% of his significant strikes by landing 15 of 33. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he landed 3 of 11 pointed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Diaz and 93% of them connected on by Wellmaker were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Otari Tanzilovi, he faced off with Shane Collins and walked away in defeat by unanimous decision in round 3. Collins connected on 86% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Tanzilovi landed 70% of his significant strikes at distance. Tanzilovi landed 65% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 58 of 89. He connected on 38 of 66 significant strikes aimed at the head. Collins ended up landing 76 of 138 significant strikes in that battle. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 46 of 102 to the head. In regard to total strikes that he let go in that fight, Collins ended up landing 111 of 175 and Tanzilovi ended up connecting on 74 of 105 of all the strikes he attempted.
Other fights on the card to keep an eye on
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Julius Walker squares up in the Octagon against Gerald Meerschaert. Walker steps into the Octagon holding a record of 7-3-0. The 27-year-old weighs 205 lbs and comes in at 6'4". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 78". Meerschaert stands 6'1" and weighs in at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage with a record of 37-22-0. The 38-year-old reaches 77". In terms of takedowns, Julius Walker gets a takedown 4.07 times per 15 minutes while Gerald Meerschaert is averaging a takedown 1.70 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Walker tags his opponents 3.72 strikes/minute and landing 53% out of all the strikes he attempts. Joining him in the Octagon is Gerald Meerschaert, who connects on 45% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 2.95 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Ismael Bonfim is set to enter the Octagon against Francisco Prado. Prado will be looking to add a win to his career total of 12-5-0. The 24-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and measures 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Bonfim comes in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a career mark of 20-7-0. The 30-year-old reaches 71". Regarding wrestling, Francisco Prado is able to stop 40% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown tries on 19% of his attempts. Bonfim is taking his opponents down on 33% of the attempts he tries and prevents 76% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the matter of striking, Prado is taking 4.31 strikes/min while he is dealing 3.68 strikes per minute. Bonfim, on the other side, is taking 3.96 strikes/min and connects on 5.10 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Otari Tanzilovi (+173)
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