Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso Pick, 09/12/2026 Predictions Noche UFC 4 Odds
Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso
Noche UFC 4
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 12, 2026
Manon Fiorot will enter the Octagon with Alexa Grasso at Noche UFC 4 on Saturday, September 12, 2026. The line has Fiorot priced at -235 while Grasso is coming in at +195.
Manon "The Beast" Fiorot steps into the cage with a mark of 13-2-0. The 36-year-old records a weight of 125 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter reaches 65". Alexa Grasso stands 5'5" and weighs 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 17-5-1. The 33-year-old extends her reach 66". Regarding significant strikes, Manon Fiorot is connecting on 5.66 per minute and Alexa Grasso lands 4.11 significant strikes per minute. Fiorot connects on 42% of the significant strikes she tries while Grasso is landing 41%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Beast" absorbs 3.58 significant strikes per min and Grasso absorbs 3.71. Fiorot also prevents 66% of the significant strikes her opponents throw her way and Grasso is able to deflect 58% of the shots thrown.
| Noche UFC 4 | Manon Fiorot | Alexa Grasso |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -235 | +195 |
| Record | 13-2-0 | 17-5-1 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:16 | 14:56 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 125 lbs | 125 lbs |
| Reach | 65" | 66" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.66 | 4.11 |
| Striking Accuracy | 42% | 41% |
Concerning wrestling, Manon Fiorot is the more capable wrestler as she is able to score a takedown 1.05 times per 3 rds. Fiorot is finishing her takedown attempts on 29% of her tries and is stopping 87% of the takedowns her opponents try. Grasso is scoring a takedown on 35% of the takedowns she tries and stopping 54% of all takedowns attempted by her opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Fiorot is the less likely of the two fighters to go for the finish by going for 0.5 subs per 15 min while Grasso tries 0.7 subs per 3 rounds.
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The last time she fought, Manon Fiorot fought Jasmine Jasudavicius and took home the victory by a punch to the head while on the ground in round 1. Jasudavicius ended up landing 2 of 14 total strikes attempted in that contest. Fiorot ended the night having landed 17 of 28 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Jasudavicius landed 2 of 14, giving her a percentage of 14%. She ended up landing 2 of 14 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Fiorot landed 59% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 16 of 27. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 16 of 26 aimed at the head. 100% of the significant strikes connected on by Jasudavicius and 50% of them connected on by Fiorot were thrown at distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Alexa Grasso, she went up against Maycee Barber and wound up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Barber ended up landing 100% of her significant strikes at distance and Grasso connected on 91% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance. Grasso connected on 31% of the significant strikes she attempted by connecting on 12 of 38. She ended up landing 8 of 31 significant strikes aimed at the head. Barber ended up connecting on 5 of 25 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, she landed 4 of 24 directed at the head. Regarding total strikes that she threw in that fight, Barber was 5 of 25 while Grasso was 12 of 38 of the strikes she threw in total.
Other fights to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when JJ Aldrich squares up in the Octagon against Regina Tarin. Aldrich looks to add a victory to her total of 15-7-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 125 lbs and comes in at 5'5". The southpaw fighter reaches 67". Tarin comes in at 5'7" and is fighting at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 8-0-0. The 21-year-old reaches 66". In the grappling category, JJ Aldrich gets a takedown 0.70 times per 15 minutes and Regina Tarin is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Aldrich connects for an average of 3.92 strikes/minute and connecting on 46% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Regina Tarin, who connects on 47% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 7.60 per min.
One more can't miss bout is when Jose Delgado is set to fight Jean Silva. Silva looks to add a victory to his career record of 17-3-0. The 29-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Delgado stands in at 5'11" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old has an arm span of 73". Concerning wrestling, Jean Silva is able to deflect 78% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is taking his opponents down on 60% of his tries. Delgado is taking his opponents to the mat on 38% of his tries and thwarts 63% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Silva absorbs 4.50 strikes/min and he lands 4.82 strikes per min. Delgado, on the other hand, absorbs 4.18 strikes per minute and is landing 6.07 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Manon Fiorot (-235)
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