Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann Pick, 09/05/2026 Predictions UFC Paris Odds
Mario Pinto vs Ryan Spann
UFC Paris
Accor Arena in Paris, France
Saturday, September 5, 2026
Mario Pinto will enter the Octagon with Ryan Spann at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 5, 2026. The moneyline has Pinto priced at -277 while Spann is at +228.
Mario Pinto steps into the cage holding a record of 12-0-0. The 28-year-old weighs 265 lbs and measures 6' 5". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 79". Ryan "Superman" Spann measures 6' 5" and weighs 264 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 24-11-0. The 35-year-old has an arm span of 79". In terms of significant strikes, Mario Pinto is connecting on 2.85 per min while Ryan Spann connects on 3.11 significant strikes per min. Pinto connects on 69% of the significant strikes he attempts while Spann lands 39%. Concerning the fighter's defense, Pinto takes 1.93 significant strikes per minute while "Superman" takes 3.92. Pinto also stops 58% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Spann is able to curb 43% of the shots thrown.
| UFC Paris | Mario Pinto | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -277 | +228 |
| Record | 12-0-0 | 24-11-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 7:53 | 5:31 |
| Height | 6' 5" | 6' 5" |
| Weight | 265 lbs | 264 lbs |
| Reach | 79" | 79" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 2.85 | 3.11 |
| Striking Accuracy | 69% | 39% |
In the category of takedowns, Mario Pinto is the more efficient grappler as he scores a takedown 2.38 times per 15 minutes. Pinto is taking his opponents to the canvas on 26% of his tries and is stopping 85% of all takedowns attempted on him. Spann is finishing his takedown tries on 34% of his takedown tries and defending 59% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. When it comes to submission attempts, Pinto is less apt at going for the finish by attempting 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes while Spann goes for 1.7 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his previous bout, Mario Pinto squared up with Felipe Franco and ended up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Franco landed 60 of 100 total strikes that he let go. Pinto ended the night having landed 137 of 166 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Franco ended up landing 21 of 60, which means his percentage was 35%. He finished the fight landing 13 of 51 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Pinto ended up landing 58% of his significant strikes by landing 34 of 58. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 25 of 48 to the head. 61% of the significant strikes connected on by Franco and 58% of them connected on by Pinto were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Ryan Spann, he went up against Marcus Buchecha and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Buchecha ended up connecting on 87% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Spann ended up connecting on 53% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Spann ended up connecting on 55% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 15 of 27. He ended up connecting on 11 of 22 significant strikes aimed at the head. Buchecha ended up landing 8 of 13 significant strikes in that battle. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 4 of 8 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go, Buchecha was 8 of 13 and Spann connected on 20 of 35 of all the strikes he threw.
Other bouts to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Kurtis Campbell meets Trevor Peek. Campbell walks into the cage holding a record of 8-1-0. The 24-year-old weighs in at 145 lbs and comes in at 5' 9". The switch fighter reaches 72". Peek stands in at 5' 9" and records a weight of 145 lbs. The switch fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 9-3-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old reaches 70". In terms of takedowns, Kurtis Campbell gets a takedown 8.76 times per 3 rds while Trevor Peek is averaging a takedown 1.45 times per 3 rounds. When it comes to striking, Campbell is landing 3.50 strikes/minute and landing 48% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side we have Trevor Peek, who is connecting on 53% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 4.39 per minute.
If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Modestas Bukauskas is set to encounter Oumar Sy. Sy walks into the cage with a record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands 6' 4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 83". Bukauskas stands 6' 3" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-7-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Concerning grappling, Oumar Sy is able to defend against 66% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 35% of the times he tries. Bukauskas is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his attempts and prevents 82% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Sy is absorbing 1.87 strikes per min and he is connecting on 3.41 strikes per min. Bukauskas, on the other side, takes 3.86 strikes/minute and is dealing 3.14 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Ryan Spann (+228)
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