MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones Pick, 08/22/2026 Predictions UFC Sacramento Odds
MarQuel Mederos vs Mason Jones
UFC Sacramento
Golden 1 Center in Sacramento
Saturday, August 22, 2026
MarQuel Mederos will enter the Octagon against Mason Jones at UFC Sacramento on Saturday, August 22, 2026. The opening moneyline has Mederos at +219 while Jones is at -265.
MarQuel Mederos holds a record of 11-1-1. The 29-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter reaches 69". Mason "The Dragon" Jones measures in at 5'10" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 18-2-0 (1 NC). The 31-year-old extends his reach 74". Concerning significant strikes, MarQuel Mederos connects on 5.46 per minute and Mason Jones connects on 5.98 significant strikes per min. Mederos is connecting on 58% of the significant strikes he tries and Jones lands 42%. Concerning their defense in the cage, Mederos allows 4.58 significant strikes per minute and "The Dragon" absorbs 4.45. Mederos also deflects 52% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt while Jones thwarts 50% of the shots thrown in his direction.
| UFC Sacramento | MarQuel Mederos | Mason Jones |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +219 | -265 |
| Record | 11-1-1 | 18-2-0 (1 NC) |
| Average Fight Time | 12:50 | 12:56 |
| Height | 5'10" | 5'10" |
| Weight | 155 lbs | 155 lbs |
| Reach | 69" | 74" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.46 | 5.98 |
| Striking Accuracy | 58% | 42% |
Regarding grappling, MarQuel Mederos is the lesser skilled wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.23 times per 3 rds. Mederos is scoring a takedown on 8% of the times he tries and thwarting 82% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Jones is finishing his takedown tries on 55% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 73% of the tries against him. When it comes to going for the submission, Mederos is the more skilled fighter by attempting 0.8 finishes per 3 rounds while Jones tries 0.2 finishes per 15 minutes.
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The last time he stepped into the Octagon, MarQuel Mederos squared up with Chris Padilla and ended up in a draw by way of majority decision in round 3. Padilla ended up landing 164 of 291 of the strikes he let go in total for this contest. Mederos ended the night having landed 117 of 186 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Padilla ended up landing 147 of 271, giving him a percentage of 54%. He ended up landing 71 of 164 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Mederos landed 62% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 112 of 180. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 81 of 147 to the head. 84% of the significant strikes connected on by Padilla and 81% of them landed by Mederos were tallied at distance.
In the last fight for Mason Jones, he faced off with Axel Sola and ended up getting the victory in the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Sola landed 93% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Jones connected on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Jones landed 46% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 110 of 236. He landed 76 of 193 significant strikes to the head. Sola ended up connecting on 65 of 135 significant strikes in that fight. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 49 of 116 to the head. Relating to total strikes that he let go in that contest, Sola ended up landing 68 of 141 and Jones ended up connecting on 123 of 251 of the strikes he threw in total.
Other fights to watch
Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jamall Emmers enters the Octagon with Lerryan Douglas. Emmers has a career record of 22-8-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands 5'10". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 74". Douglas measures 5'9" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career record of 14-5-0. The 31-year-old has a reach of 72". When it comes to grappling, Jamall Emmers takes his opponents down 2.59 times per 3 rounds while Lerryan Douglas scores a takedown 0.80 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Emmers connects for an average of 5.10 strikes/minute and is connecting on 49% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Lerryan Douglas, who is landing 64% of the strikes he has thrown and connects for an average of 8.67 per min.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Shamil Gaziev is set to face off against Kennedy Nzechukwu. Nzechukwu steps into the cage with a mark of 14-6-1. The 34-year-old weighs 236 lbs and measures 6'5". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 83". Gaziev stands in at 6'4" and weighs 265 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career mark of 14-3-0. The 36-year-old extends his reach 78". Regarding wrestling, Kennedy Nzechukwu is able to curb 80% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of the times he tries. Gaziev is taking his opponents down on 33% of the tries he takes and stops 83% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Nzechukwu is absorbing 4.58 strikes per minute and he deals 4.96 per min. Gaziev, moreover, is taking 4.92 strikes per min and connects on 2.94 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Mason Jones (-265)
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