Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec Pick, 08/01/2026 Predictions UFC Belgrade Odds

by Tony Sink - 7/28/2026

Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec

UFC Belgrade

Belgrade Arena in Belgrade, Serbia

Saturday, August 1, 2026

Mateusz Rebecki will battle Kyle Prepolec at UFC Belgrade on Saturday, August 1, 2026. The opener has Rebecki priced at -550 while Prepolec is at +400.

Mateusz Rebecki will be looking to add a win to his career total of 20-5-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Kyle "Killshot" Prepolec stands 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 18-10-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 70". Concerning significant strikes, Mateusz Rebecki is landing 4.79 per minute while Kyle Prepolec lands 3.25 significant strikes per min. Rebecki is landing 46% of the significant strikes he throws while Prepolec lands 34%. Regarding defending in the cage, Rebecki allows 4.36 significant strikes per minute while "Killshot" absorbs 5.69. Rebecki also prevents 54% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction while Prepolec deflects 48% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Mateusz Rebecki predictions best bet odds

UFC Belgrade	Mateusz Rebecki	Kyle Prepolec
Opening Odds	-550	+400
Record	20-5-0	18-10-0
Average Fight Time	11:29	12:13
Height	5'7"	5'10"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	66"	70"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.79	3.25
Striking Accuracy	46%	34%

In terms of wrestling, Mateusz Rebecki is the more effective wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.05 times per 15 min. Rebecki is getting his opponent to the mat on 48% of his tries and defending 53% of all takedowns attempted on him. Prepolec is scoring a takedown on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and is stopping 45% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Rebecki is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Prepolec looks to get 0.7 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Mateusz Rebecki squared up with Ludovit Klein and wound up losing the fight by way of majority decision in round 3. Klein landed 90 of 149 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Rebecki ended the night having landed 113 of 208 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Klein landed 82 of 140, which gave him a percentage of 58%. He finished the fight landing 69 of 127 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Rebecki landed 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 72 of 159. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he landed 55 of 139 aimed at the head. 87% of the significant strikes landed by Klein and 62% of them connected on by Rebecki were done at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Kyle Prepolec, he went up against Drew Dober and ended up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 3. Dober landed 92% of his significant strikes at distance and Prepolec connected on 100% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Prepolec ended up landing 31% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 51 of 164. He landed 36 of 139 significant strikes directed at the head. Dober landed 83 of 161 significant strikes in that contest. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he ended up landing 46 of 117 aimed at the head. Discussing the strikes he fired off in this contest, Dober was 85 of 163 and Prepolec was 51 of 164 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Jovan Leka faces off against Alexander Poppeck. Leka walks into the cage holding a record of 13-2-0. The 24-year-old records a weight of 259 lbs and measures 6'4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 75". Poppeck stands 6'2" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight holding a mark of 21-5-0 (1 NC). The 34-year-old reaches 77". In the grappling category, Jovan Leka is able to score a takedown 1.00 times per 15 minutes while Alexander Poppeck is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Leka tags his opponents 1.60 strikes/min and landing 75% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Alexander Poppeck, who is connecting on 57% of his attempted strikes and connects on 4.01 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Daniel Rodriguez is set to square up with Uros Medic. Medic steps into the cage holding a record of 13-3-0. The 33-year-old steps on the scale at 170 lbs and measures in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has an arm span of 71". Rodriguez measures in at 6'1" and tips the scales at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career total of 20-5-0. The 39-year-old has a wingspan of 74". Concerning grappling, Uros Medic thwarts 55% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is taking his opponents down on 50% of the times he tries. Rodriguez is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of his tries and curbs 64% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. With regard to striking, Medic is absorbing 3.42 strikes/min and he lands 5.59 strikes/min. Rodriguez, on the contrary, takes 5.40 strikes/minute and is dishing out 7.20 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Kyle Prepolec (+400)

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Mateusz Rebecki vs Kyle Prepolec Pick, 08/01/2026 Predictions UFC Belgrade Odds

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