Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler Pick, 06/14/2026 Predictions UFC Freedom 250 Odds

by Tony Sink - 6/10/2026

Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler

UFC Freedom 250

South Lawn of the White House

Sunday, June 14, 2026

Mauricio Ruffy will enter the Octagon with Michael Chandler at UFC Freedom 250 on Sunday, June 14, 2026. The line has Ruffy coming in at -600 while Chandler is at +450.

Mauricio Ruffy walks into the cage holding a mark of 13-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs 155 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Michael "Iron" Chandler stands 5'8" and records a weight of 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the cage holding a mark of 23-10-0. The 40-year-old has a reach of 71". In terms of significant strikes, Mauricio Ruffy is connecting on 4.19 per minute while Michael Chandler connects on 4.04 significant strikes per min. Ruffy is landing 58% of the significant strikes he throws and Chandler connects on 49%. In terms of defending themselves, Ruffy allows 4.09 significant strikes per minute and "Iron" takes 4.52. Ruffy also thwarts 58% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Chandler curbs 43% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Mauricio Ruffy predictions best bet odds

UFC Freedom 250	Mauricio Ruffy	Michael Chandler
Opening Odds	-600	+450
Record	13-2-0	23-10-0
Average Fight Time	9:00	9:37
Height	5'11"	5'8"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	75"	71"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	4.19	4.04
Striking Accuracy	58%	49%

When it comes to grappling, Mauricio Ruffy is the not as competent as a grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 0.80 times per 3 rounds. Ruffy is scoring a takedown on 10% of his tries and is stuffing 85% of all takedown attempts. Chandler is taking his opponents to the canvas on 41% of the takedowns he tries and stuffing 61% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. When it comes to sub attempts, Ruffy is not as skilled of a technician by going for 0.3 submissions per 3 rds while Chandler tries 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

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The last time he fought, Mauricio Ruffy faced Rafael Fiziev and wound up taking home the victory by way of a punch to the head while on the ground in round 2. Fiziev landed 37 of 67 total strikes that he let go. Ruffy finished this fight landing 60 of 93 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Fiziev ended up landing 36 of 66, which gave him a percentage of 54%. He landed 9 of 31 significant strikes to the head. On the other side, Ruffy landed 62% of his significant strikes by connecting on 55 of 88. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 45 of 77 to the head. 94% of the significant strikes landed by Fiziev and 76% of them connected on by Ruffy were done at distance.

In the last bout for Michael Chandler, he fought Paddy Pimblett and wound up losing the fight via an elbow to the head in round 3. Pimblett connected on 53% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Chandler ended up landing 90% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Chandler ended up connecting on 39% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 11 of 28. He landed 6 of 18 significant strikes aimed at the head. Pimblett landed 80 of 143 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 61 of 119 to the head. When discussing total strikes that he threw in that fight, Pimblett ended up connecting on 121 of 197 and Chandler ended up connecting on 20 of 39 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Bo Nickal fights Kyle Daukaus. Nickal walks into the Octagon with a record of 8-1-0. The 30-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands in at 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 76". Daukaus comes in at 6'2" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter holds a career mark of 17-4-0 (1 NC). The 33-year-old reaches 76". Regarding grappling, Bo Nickal takes his opponents to the mat 3.10 times per 3 rounds while Kyle Daukaus takes his opponents to the mat 2.08 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Nickal is connecting on 3.35 strikes per min and landing 61% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Kyle Daukaus, who is landing 53% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.32 per minute.

Another must see fight on the night is when Steve Garcia is set to encounter Diego Lopes. Lopes comes into this bout holding a record of 27-8-0. The 31-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Garcia measures in at 6'0" and will fight at 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his record of 19-5-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 75". Concerning wrestling, Diego Lopes is able to deflect 68% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents down on 50% of his attempts. Garcia is finishing his takedowns on 40% of his tries and is able to thwart 88% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Lopes is absorbing 4.56 strikes per minute and he is landing 3.83 strikes/min. Garcia, on the other hand, is taking 2.12 strikes per minute and deals 5.39 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Mauricio Ruffy (-600)

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Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler Pick, 06/14/2026 Predictions UFC Freedom 250 Odds

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