Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler Pick, 10/17/2026 Predictions UFC Edmonton Odds
Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler
UFC Edmonton
Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Melissa Croden will take on Chelsea Chandler at UFC Edmonton on Saturday, October 17, 2026. The moneyline has Croden coming in at -265 while Chandler is priced at +225.
Melissa "Scare" Croden will be looking to add a victory to her career total of 8-3-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter reaches 68". Chelsea Chandler stands 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The southpaw fighter steps into the cage with a mark of 7-4-0. The 35-year-old reaches 68". Regarding significant strikes, Melissa Croden is connecting on 4.27 per min while Chelsea Chandler is connecting on 3.52 significant strikes per minute. Croden is landing 47% of the significant strikes she attempts while Chandler is landing 45%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "Scare" allows 2.13 significant strikes per min and Chandler takes 4.27. Croden also stops 59% of the significant strikes her opponents throw at her while Chandler is able to defend against 40% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Edmonton | Melissa Croden | Chelsea Chandler |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -265 | +225 |
| Record | 8-3-0 | 7-4-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:51 | 9:15 |
| Height | 5'9" | 5'8" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 68" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 4.27 | 3.52 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47% | 45% |
When it comes to wrestling, Melissa Croden is the more capable wrestler as she takes her opponents to the mat 2.02 times per 3 rds. Croden is getting her opponent to the mat on 50% of the times she tries and is stopping 66% of the takedowns her opponents try. Chandler is getting her opponent to the mat on 60% of the takedowns she tries and thwarting 25% of all takedowns attempted on her. In terms of submission attempts, Croden is the more experienced of the two fighters by going for 0.5 finishes per 3 rounds while Chandler goes for 0.3 finishes per 15 min.
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In her last appearance in the Octagon, Melissa Croden went up against Daria Zhelezniakova and ended up getting the victory in the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Zhelezniakova landed 81 of 163 total strikes attempted in that contest. Croden ended the night having landed 92 of 185 total strikes. In the category of significant strikes, Zhelezniakova landed 41 of 118, which gave her a rate of 34%. She ended up landing 30 of 100 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Croden ended up landing 45% of her significant strikes by landing 69 of 153. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she landed 51 of 121 pointed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Zhelezniakova and 62% of them connected on by Croden were thrown at a distance.
In the last Octagon appearance for Chelsea Chandler, she squared up with Priscila Cachoeira and wound up getting the victory by an armbar from the mount position in round 1. Cachoeira connected on 85% of the significant strikes she attempted at distance while Chandler connected on 81% of the significant strikes she tried at a distance. Chandler ended up connecting on 44% of her significant strikes attempted by connecting on 11 of 25. She ended up connecting on 9 of 22 significant strikes to the head. Cachoeira ended up connecting on 7 of 13 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, she landed 6 of 11 to the head. In relation to total strikes that she threw in that fight, Cachoeira was 9 of 16 and Chandler ended up landing 24 of 41 of all the strikes she threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
Another fight to keep an eye on is when Joaquin Buckley meets Mike Malott. Buckley holds a career record of 21-8-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 170 lbs and measures 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 76". Malott stands 6'1" and will fight at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a record of 14-2-1. The 34-year-old stretches 73". In the grappling category, Joaquin Buckley takes his opponents to the mat 1.43 times per 15 minutes while Mike Malott takes his opponents down 1.63 times per 3 rounds. Regarding striking, Buckley tags his opponents 3.62 strikes/min and connecting on 36% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other fighter in this bout is Mike Malott, who tags his opponent on 48% of the strikes that he throws and connects on 4.02 per minute.
One more can't miss bout is when SuYoung You is set to square up in the Octagon with Cody Chovancek. Chovancek holds a career mark of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and measures 5'8". The switch fighter has an arm span of 67". You comes in at 5'6" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 16-4-0 (2 NC). The 30-year-old has an arm span of 65". When it comes to takedowns, Cody Chovancek thwarts 83% of his opponents' takedown tries and is finishing his takedowns on 15% of his tries. You is finishing his takedowns on 47% of the tries he takes and is able to curb 66% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Chovancek absorbs 2.46 strikes/min and he is dishing out 2.85 per min. You, on the other side, takes 2.01 strikes per min and dishes out 2.15 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chelsea Chandler (+225)
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