Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez Pick, 09/26/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 121 Odds
Norma Dumont vs Ailin Perez
UFC Vegas 121
Meta Apex in Las Vegas
Saturday, September 26, 2026
Norma Dumont will enter the Octagon with Ailin Perez at UFC Vegas 121 on Saturday, September 26, 2026. The line has Dumont coming in at +120 while Perez is coming in at -140.
Norma "The Immortal" Dumont looks to add a victory to her career record of 13-3-0. The 35-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter extends her reach 67". Ailin "Fiona" Perez stands in at 5'5" and will fight at 135 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a victory to her record of 13-2-0. The 31-year-old stretches 66". In terms of significant strikes, Norma Dumont is landing 3.85 per min and Ailin Perez lands 2.88 significant strikes per min. Dumont lands 50% of the significant strikes she attempts and Perez connects on 56%. Regarding defending in the Octagon, "The Immortal" allows 2.33 significant strikes per minute while "Fiona" takes 1.58. Dumont also stops 64% of the significant strikes her opponents attempt while Perez is able to thwart 56% of the strikes thrown her way.
| UFC Vegas 121 | Norma Dumont | Ailin Perez |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | +120 | -140 |
| Record | 13-3-0 | 13-2-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 14:53 | 12:41 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'5" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 66" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 3.85 | 2.88 |
| Striking Accuracy | 50% | 56% |
Concerning wrestling, Norma Dumont is the lesser skilled grappler as she takes her opponents to the canvas 1.43 times per 15 min. Dumont is getting her opponent to the mat on 54% of her tries and is stuffing 71% of the takedowns her opponents try. Perez is scoring a takedown on 49% of her takedown tries and is stuffing 72% of the attempts against her. Regarding subbing opponents, Dumont is the more experienced submission fighter by trying 0.7 submissions per 15 min while Perez goes for 0.2 submissions per 15 minutes.
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In her last fight, Norma Dumont squared up with Joselyne Edwards and wound up losing the fight by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Edwards landed 121 of 207 total strikes attempted in that fight. Dumont finished this fight landing 66 of 117 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Edwards landed 70 of 152, which gave her a rate of 46%. She finished the fight landing 20 of 63 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Dumont ended up landing 51% of the significant strikes she threw by landing 51 of 100. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, she was 20 of 54 pointed at the head. 97% of the significant strikes connected on by Edwards and 86% of them connected on by Dumont were tallied at distance.
In the last bout for Ailin Perez, she fought Macy Chiasson and wound up getting the victory by unanimous decision in round 3. Chiasson ended up connecting on 12% of the significant strikes she took from distance while Perez ended up landing 29% of the significant strikes she took from distance. Perez connected on 71% of the significant strikes she attempted by landing 27 of 38. She landed 14 of 19 significant strikes to the head. Chiasson ended up connecting on 8 of 23 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, she ended up connecting on 4 of 16 to the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Chiasson connected on 41 of 74 while Perez was 68 of 83 of all the strikes she threw.
Other fights on the card to watch
An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Vanessa Demopoulos opposes Yazmin Jauregui. Demopoulos comes into this fight with a record of 11-8-0. The 37-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and measures in at 5'2". The orthodox fighter reaches 59". Jauregui measures in at 5'3" and tips the scales at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to her total of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old stretches 64". When it comes to grappling, Vanessa Demopoulos takes her opponents to the mat 0.32 times per 3 rounds and Yazmin Jauregui takes her opponents to the canvas 0.60 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Demopoulos connects for an average of 3.37 strikes/minute and lands 39% of the strikes that she throws. On the other side we have Yazmin Jauregui, who is landing 39% of the strikes she attempts and lands an average of 6.64 per minute.
An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Raoni Barcelos is set to face off with Raul Rosas Jr.. Rosas Jr. comes into this bout holding a record of 12-1-0. The 21-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter stretches 67". Barcelos comes in at 5'7" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 22-5-0. The 39-year-old has an arm span of 67". When it comes to takedowns, Raul Rosas Jr. curbs 25% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents to the mat on 54% of the times he tries. Barcelos is taking his opponents to the mat on 31% of the tries he takes and prevents 87% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Concerning striking, Rosas Jr. takes 1.24 strikes per min and he is dealing 1.34 strikes per min. Barcelos, in contrast, absorbs 4.24 strikes/minute and connects on 4.65 per minute.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Norma Dumont (+120)
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