Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis Pick, 07/25/2026 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/22/2026

Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis

UFC Abu Dhabi

Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi

Saturday, July 25, 2026

Nurullo Aliev will enter the Octagon against Mike Davis at UFC Abu Dhabi on Saturday, July 25, 2026. The line has Aliev coming in at -200 while Davis is coming in at +170.

Nurullo "Tajik Eagle" Aliev has a career mark of 11-0-0. The 25-year-old steps on the scale at 155 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 72". Mike "Beast Boy" Davis stands 6'0" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his total of 12-3-0. The 33-year-old stretches 72". Regarding significant strikes, Nurullo Aliev lands 2.72 per min while Mike Davis is connecting on 4.73 significant strikes per minute. Aliev is connecting on 44% of the significant strikes he attempts and Davis is connecting on 53%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Tajik Eagle" takes 1.63 significant strikes per minute and "Beast Boy" absorbs 5.23. Aliev also prevents 58% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Davis curbs 54% of the shots thrown his way.

ufc picks Mike Davis predictions best bet odds

UFC Abu Dhabi	Nurullo Aliev	Mike Davis
Opening Odds	-200	+170
Record	11-0-0	12-3-0
Average Fight Time	12:24	12:29
Height	5'10"	6'0"
Weight	155 lbs	155 lbs
Reach	72"	72"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	2.72	4.73
Striking Accuracy	44%	53%

In the category of takedowns, Nurullo Aliev is not as effective of a wrestler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.12 times per 3 rds. Aliev is taking his opponents to the canvas on 43% of the times he tries and defending 80% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Davis is finishing his takedown tries on 44% of the takedowns he attempts and thwarting 60% of the tries against him. Regarding subbing opponents, Aliev is the lesser skilled of the two fighters by trying 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Davis goes for 0.8 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his last bout, Nurullo Aliev squared up with Shem Rock and wound up getting the win by unanimous decision in round 3. Rock landed 77 of 141 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Aliev walked away from this fight having landed 63 of 133 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Rock ended up landing 44 of 104, which means his percentage was 42%. He landed 9 of 53 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Aliev ended up landing 43% of his significant strikes by sticking 51 of 117. Out of those significant strikes, he landed 37 of 97 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes landed by Rock and 84% of them connected on by Aliev were thrown at a distance.

In the last fight for Mike Davis, he went up against Mitch Ramirez and wound up getting the victory by way of a punch to the head in round 2. Ramirez ended up connecting on 90% of his significant strikes at distance while Davis landed 93% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Davis ended up connecting on 61% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 47 of 77. He connected on 29 of 53 significant strikes to the head. Ramirez landed 51 of 111 significant strikes in that fight. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he ended up landing 27 of 85 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he let go in that fight, Ramirez ended up connecting on 57 of 118 and Davis connected on 58 of 94 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Magomed Ankalaev meets Bogdan Guskov. Ankalaev comes into this fight with a mark of 21-2-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and stands 6'3". The orthodox fighter reaches 75". Guskov measures 6'3" and weighs 205 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a mark of 18-3-1. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 76". In the grappling category, Magomed Ankalaev scores a takedown 0.79 times per 3 rounds while Bogdan Guskov takes his opponents down 0.50 times per 15 minutes. When talking about striking, Ankalaev tags his opponents 3.65 strikes per min and is connecting on 52% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage we have Bogdan Guskov, who tags his opponent on 55% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 4.57 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Ramazan Temirov is set to enter the Octagon against Steve Erceg. Erceg has a record of 14-4-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 125 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 68". Temirov comes in at 5'4" and records a weight of 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 19-3-0. The 29-year-old reaches 63". Concerning grappling, Steve Erceg stops 67% of his opponents' takedown tries and is getting his opponent to the mat on 28% of his attempts. Temirov is taking his opponents to the mat on 50% of the tries he takes and curbs 85% of takedowns his opponents have tried. With regard to striking, Erceg takes 4.07 strikes/minute and he lands 4.64 strikes/minute. Temirov, notwithstanding, is absorbing 3.93 strikes/minute and is landing 4.37 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Mike Davis (+170)

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Nurullo Aliev vs Mike Davis Pick, 07/25/2026 Predictions UFC Abu Dhabi Odds

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