Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira Pick, 08/01/2026 Predictions UFC Belgrade Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 7/28/2026

Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira

UFC Belgrade

Belgrade Arena in Belgrade, Serbia

Saturday, August 1, 2026

Oban Elliott will take on Michael Oliveira at UFC Belgrade on Saturday, August 1, 2026. The opening line has Elliott at +287 while Oliveira is priced at -357.

Oban "The Welsh Gangster" Elliott holds a career mark of 12-4-0. The 28-year-old weighs 170 lbs and stands 6'0". The orthodox fighter reaches 72". Michael "PQD" Oliveira stands 6'1" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 9-0-0. The 28-year-old reaches 78". When talking about significant strikes, Oban Elliott is connecting on 3.62 per minute while Michael Oliveira connects on 8.40 significant strikes per minute. Elliott is connecting on 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Oliveira lands 51%. In terms of defending themselves, "The Welsh Gangster" takes 2.24 significant strikes per min and "PQD" absorbs 3.36. Elliott also defends against 61% of the significant strikes his opponents throw at him while Oliveira thwarts 66% of the shots thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Oban Elliott predictions best bet odds

UFC Belgrade	Oban Elliott	Michael Oliveira
Opening Odds	+287	-357
Record	12-4-0	9-0-0
Average Fight Time	13:12	8:56
Height	6'0"	6'1"
Weight	170 lbs	170 lbs
Reach	72"	78"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	3.62	8.40
Striking Accuracy	48%	51%

Concerning wrestling, Oban Elliott is averaging more takedowns in the cage as he takes his opponents down 1.52 times per 3 rds. Elliott is getting his opponent to the mat on 40% of his tries and defending 52% of the takedowns his opponents try. Oliveira is taking his opponents to the canvas on 15% of the takedowns he attempts and defending 85% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of submission attempts, Elliott is the more skilled technician by trying 0.9 subs per 3 rds while Oliveira looks to get 0.4 subs per 15 minutes.

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In his previous fight, Oban Elliott went up against Jonathan Micallef and was defeated by way of rear naked choke in round 2. Micallef landed 30 of 70 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Elliott ended the night having landed 47 of 89 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Micallef landed 19 of 59, giving him a percentage of 32%. He finished the fight landing 13 of 49 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Elliott ended up landing 48% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 40 of 82. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he landed 34 of 74 aimed at the head. 84% of the significant strikes landed by Micallef and 87% of them landed by Elliott were done at distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for Michael Oliveira, he went up against Victor Valenzuela and wound up getting the victory by a punch to the head in round 2. Valenzuela ended up landing 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Oliveira connected on 89% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Oliveira ended up connecting on 51% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 75 of 146. He landed 57 of 124 significant strikes to the head. Valenzuela landed 30 of 89 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 16 of 73 aimed at the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that fight, Valenzuela landed 33 of 92 while Oliveira was 76 of 147 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Dennis Buzukja battles Bogdan Grad. Buzukja will be looking to add a win to his record of 12-6-0. The 28-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'9". The switch fighter has a wingspan of 70". Grad comes in at 5'8" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his total of 15-4-0. The 30-year-old reaches 70". In the grappling category, Dennis Buzukja scores a takedown 0.62 times per 3 rds and Bogdan Grad gets a takedown 4.22 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Buzukja is landing 4.21 strikes/minute and is connecting on 43% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Bogdan Grad, who connects on 51% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 4.06 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Kyle Prepolec is set to square up against Mateusz Rebecki. Rebecki will be looking to add a win to his career total of 20-5-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures 5'7". The southpaw fighter reaches 66". Prepolec stands 5'10" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 18-10-0. The 36-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding wrestling, Mateusz Rebecki is thwarting 53% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 48% of his attempts. Prepolec is taking his opponents down on 15% of the tries he takes and stops 45% of all takedown attempts. With reference to striking, Rebecki is taking 4.36 strikes/min and he is connecting on 4.79 strikes/min. Prepolec, moreover, is absorbing 5.69 strikes/minute and connects on 3.25 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Michael Oliveira (-357)

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Oban Elliott vs Michael Oliveira Pick, 08/01/2026 Predictions UFC Belgrade Odds

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