Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas Pick, 09/05/2026 Predictions UFC Paris Odds

Oumar Sy vs Modestas Bukauskas

UFC Paris

Accor Arena in Paris, France

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Oumar Sy will enter the Octagon against Modestas Bukauskas at UFC Paris on Saturday, September 5, 2026. The opening odds have Sy coming in at -205 while Bukauskas is at +177.

Oumar Sy walks into the cage with a record of 12-2-0. The 30-year-old is fighting at 205 lbs and stands 6' 4". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 83". Modestas "The Baltic Gladiator" Bukauskas stands 6' 3" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The switch fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 20-7-0. The 32-year-old has a wingspan of 76". Concerning significant strikes, Oumar Sy is connecting on 3.41 per minute and Modestas Bukauskas is landing 3.14 significant strikes per min. Sy is landing 48% of the significant strikes he attempts and Bukauskas connects on 43%. When it comes to defending in the Octagon, Sy allows 1.87 significant strikes per minute while "The Baltic Gladiator" takes 3.86. Sy also defends 66% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Bukauskas curbs 50% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In terms of wrestling, Oumar Sy is the more capable grappler as he takes his opponents to the mat 2.45 times per 15 min. Sy is taking his opponents to the canvas on 35% of his tries and is stopping 66% of all takedowns attempted on him. Bukauskas is finishing his takedown tries on 66% of his takedown tries and is stuffing 82% of the tries against him. Regarding going for the sub, Sy is the more able fighter by trying 0.3 subs per 3 rds while Bukauskas goes for 0.1 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his previous bout, Oumar Sy fought Ion Cutelaba and walked away in defeat via guillotine choke in round 1. Cutelaba ended up landing 40 of 49 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Sy finished this fight landing 5 of 11 total strikes. When talking about significant strikes, Cutelaba ended up landing 14 of 20, which gave him a percentage of 70%. He finished the fight landing 4 of 9 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side, Sy ended up landing 45% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 5 of 11. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he landed 1 of 7 aimed at the head. 71% of the significant strikes connected on by Cutelaba and 100% of them connected on by Sy were done at a distance.

In the last fight for Modestas Bukauskas, he fought Christian Edwards and ended up winning this fight by way of split decision in round 3. Edwards landed 75% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Bukauskas ended up connecting on 83% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Bukauskas connected on 45% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 36 of 80. He landed 21 of 64 significant strikes to the head. Edwards landed 36 of 71 significant strikes in that contest. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 13 of 41 directed at the head. Relating to the total strikes thrown in this fight, Edwards ended up connecting on 51 of 89 while Bukauskas landed 52 of 99 total strikes.

Other bouts to keep an eye on

Another fight that you're going to want to watch is when Matthieu Duclos battles Luis Felipe Dias. Duclos holds a career mark of 10-3-0. The 31-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures in at 6' 3". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 77". Felipe Dias stands in at 5' 10" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter steps into the Octagon with a record of 18-5-0. The 31-year-old has an arm span of 74". In terms of takedowns, Matthieu Duclos gets a takedown 0.90 times per 15 min and Luis Felipe Dias takes his opponents to the mat 4.52 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Duclos lands an average of 3.93 strikes per minute and landing 37% out of all the strikes he attempts. The other guy in this fight is Luis Felipe Dias, who tags the opposition on 45% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 2.86 per min.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Klaudia Sygula is set to face off against Nora Cornolle. Cornolle steps into the cage holding a mark of 9-4-0. The 36-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5' 7". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Sygula measures 5' 8" and weighs 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to her total of 8-2-0. The 27-year-old extends her reach 69". Regarding takedowns, Nora Cornolle curbs 47% of the takedowns her opponents try and is taking her opponents to the canvas on 11% of the times she tries. Sygula is taking her opponents to the mat on 12% of the attempts she tries and curbs 40% of the takedowns her opponents attempt. In the matter of striking, Cornolle takes 2.04 strikes/minute and she is landing 2.73 strikes per min. Sygula, at the same time, is absorbing 5.50 strikes/minute and lands 7.27 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Modestas Bukauskas (+177)

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