Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/8/2026

Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis

UFC Vegas 117

Meta APEX in Las Vegas

Saturday, May 9, 2026

Pat Sabatini will face off against William Gomis at UFC Vegas 117 on Saturday, May 9, 2026. The opening moneyline has Sabatini coming in at -210 while Gomis is priced at +180.

Pat Sabatini has a career record of 21-5-0. The 35-year-old tips the scales at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter stretches 70". William "Jaguar" Gomis measures in at 6'0" and weighs 145 lbs. The southpaw fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 15-3-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 73". Regarding significant strikes, Pat Sabatini is connecting on 1.69 per minute while William Gomis is landing 3.48 significant strikes per minute. Sabatini lands 59% of the significant strikes he throws and Gomis lands 49%. In terms of defending in the Octagon, Sabatini takes 1.09 significant strikes per minute while "Jaguar" allows 2.76. Sabatini also deflects 50% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Gomis is able to curb 61% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

ufc picks Pat Sabatini predictions best bet odds

UFC Vegas 117	Pat Sabatini	William Gomis
Opening Odds	-210	+180
Record	21-5-0	15-3-0
Average Fight Time	9:03	14:33
Height	5'8"	6'0"
Weight	145 lbs	145 lbs
Reach	70"	73"
Strikes Landed Per Minute	1.69	3.48
Striking Accuracy	59%	49%

Regarding grappling, Pat Sabatini is the more productive grappler as he gets a takedown 4.48 times per 3 rds. Sabatini is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of the times he tries and stopping 50% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Gomis is finishing his takedowns on 38% of the takedowns he attempts and stopping 72% of the tries against him. Regarding submissions, Sabatini is the more skilled fighter by attempting 1.5 subs per 15 minutes while Gomis tries 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

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In his last fight, Pat Sabatini went up against Chepe Mariscal and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Mariscal landed 48 of 71 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Sabatini walked away from this fight having landed 40 of 61 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Mariscal ended up landing 7 of 19, which gave him a rate of 36%. He finished the fight landing 2 of 13 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Sabatini landed 41% of his significant strikes by landing 12 of 29. Of those significant strikes, he was 10 of 24 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes landed by Mariscal and 33% of them landed by Sabatini were tallied at a distance.

In the last Octagon appearance for William Gomis, he fought Robert Ruchala and ended up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Ruchala landed 79% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Gomis connected on 75% of his significant strikes at distance. Gomis ended up connecting on 42% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 49 of 114. He connected on 19 of 69 significant strikes aimed at the head. Ruchala landed 34 of 96 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 14 of 62 to the head. When discussing total strikes thrown, Ruchala ended up connecting on 54 of 116 while Gomis connected on 66 of 132 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

One more match to look forward to is when Baisangur Susurkaev fights Djorden Santos. Susurkaev holds a career mark of 11-0-0. The 25-year-old weighs 185 lbs and stands 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Santos stands 6'0" and is weighing in at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon with a record of 11-2-0. The 28-year-old has a reach of 75". Regarding grappling, Baisangur Susurkaev takes his opponents down 2.76 times per 3 rds while Djorden Santos takes his opponents to the mat 0.67 times per 3 rds. When it comes to striking, Susurkaev connects on 4.56 strikes/minute and is connecting on 59% of his attempted strikes. On the other side of the cage you've got Djorden Santos, who lands 44% of the strikes he has tried and lands an average of 7.00 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Jose Ochoa is set to take on Clayton Carpenter. Carpenter will be looking to add a victory to his career total of 8-2-0. The 29-year-old weighs in at 125 lbs and stands 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 66". Ochoa comes in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 125 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 8-2-0 (1 NC). The 25-year-old stretches 67". Regarding wrestling, Clayton Carpenter is able to deflect 37% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 46% of the times he tries. Ochoa is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of the attempts he tries and is able to curb 59% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Carpenter takes 2.57 strikes/min while he lands 3.66 strikes per min. Ochoa, in contrast, is absorbing 2.33 strikes/minute and deals 3.01 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pat Sabatini (-210)

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Pat Sabatini vs William Gomis Pick, 05/09/2026 Predictions UFC Vegas 117 Odds

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