Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili Pick, 10/24/2026 Predictions UFC 333 Odds
Petr Yan vs Merab Dvalishvili
UFC 333
Eithad Arena in Abu Dhabi, UAE
Saturday, October 24, 2026
Petr Yan will battle Merab Dvalishvili at UFC 333 on Saturday, October 24, 2026. The opening line has Yan coming in at -163 while Dvalishvili is priced at +139.
Petr "No Mercy" Yan comes into this fight with a mark of 20-5-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures 5'7". The switch fighter reaches 67". Merab "The Machine" Dvalishvili measures in at 5'6" and will fight at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a mark of 21-5-0. The 35-year-old has a wingspan of 68". In the category of significant strikes, Petr Yan connects on 5.16 per min and Merab Dvalishvili is landing 4.42 significant strikes per minute. Yan lands 54% of the significant strikes he throws and Dvalishvili is landing 41%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "No Mercy" takes 4.24 significant strikes per min while "The Machine" absorbs 2.80. Yan also thwarts 59% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way and Dvalishvili is able to stop 54% of the shots thrown.
| UFC 333 | Petr Yan | Merab Dvalishvili |
|---|---|---|
| Opening Odds | -163 | +139 |
| Record | 20-5-0 | 21-5-0 |
| Average Fight Time | 17:38 | 17:36 |
| Height | 5'7" | 5'6" |
| Weight | 135 lbs | 135 lbs |
| Reach | 67" | 68" |
| Strikes Landed Per Minute | 5.16 | 4.42 |
| Striking Accuracy | 54% | 41% |
Regarding grappling, Petr Yan is not as efficient of a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.70 times per 3 rounds. Yan is finishing his takedown attempts on 49% of his tries and is stopping 86% of all takedown attempts. Dvalishvili is taking his opponents to the mat on 35% of the takedowns he tries and is stuffing 76% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Yan is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.1 finishes per 3 rounds while Dvalishvili attempts 0.3 finishes per 3 rds.
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In his last appearance in the Octagon, Petr Yan squared up with Merab Dvalishvili and ended up winning this fight via unanimous decision in round 5. Dvalishvili ended up landing 196 of 458 total strikes that he threw in that fight. Yan finished this fight landing 159 of 251 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Dvalishvili landed 134 of 383, which means his percentage was 34%. He landed 105 of 341 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Yan landed 60% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 139 of 230. Of those significant strikes, he landed 109 of 195 pointed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Dvalishvili and 85% of them landed by Yan were tallied at a distance.
In the last bout for Merab Dvalishvili, he fought Petr Yan and took a loss on the night by way of unanimous decision in round 5. Yan landed 85% of his significant strikes at distance and Dvalishvili landed 86% of his significant strikes at distance. Dvalishvili connected on 34% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 134 of 383. He ended up landing 105 of 341 significant strikes aimed at the head. Yan landed 139 of 230 significant strikes in that battle. Out of those significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 109 of 195 directed at the head. In terms of total strikes thrown, Yan was 159 of 251 while Dvalishvili connected on 196 of 458 of all the strikes he threw.
Other fights to watch out for
Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Lone'er Kavanagh meets Ramazan Temirov. Kavanagh walks into the Octagon with a mark of 10-2-0. The 27-year-old weighs 125 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter reaches 67". Temirov stands 5'4" and is weighing in at 125 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his career record of 20-3-0. The 29-year-old has an arm span of 63". When it comes to grappling, Lone'er Kavanagh is able to score a takedown 1.12 times per 3 rounds while Ramazan Temirov takes his opponents to the mat 0.68 times per 15 minutes. In the striking category, Kavanagh lands an average of 4.13 strikes/minute and lands 50% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Ramazan Temirov, who tags the opposition on 41% of the strikes he has tried and connects for an average of 4.73 per minute.
If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Rizvan Kuniev is set to fight Alexander Volkov. Volkov looks to add a win to his career total of 40-11-0. The 37-year-old records a weight of 250 lbs and stands 6'7". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 80". Kuniev comes in at 6'4" and will fight at 240 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a win to his record of 14-3-1 (1 NC). The 34-year-old reaches 76". When it comes to takedowns, Alexander Volkov is preventing 68% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is getting his opponent to the mat on 62% of his tries. Kuniev is taking his opponents down on 75% of his attempts and prevents 93% of all takedown tries against him. With regard to striking, Volkov takes 2.90 strikes/min and he connects on 4.84 strikes per minute. Kuniev, at the same time, is absorbing 2.22 strikes per minute and is dishing out 4.32 per min.
Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?
Tony Sink's Pick: Take Merab Dvalishvili (+139)
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